Thu, Nov 10, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 012 | 16 | 116 | 234 |
| CBJ | 29 | 111 | 29 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:53CBJJohnny GaudreauAssists: Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 12:03CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Johnny Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 0:37CBJBoone JennerGWGAssists: Patrik Laine, Johnny Gaudreau · Snap, 0.12 xG0–3
- P2 13:04PHITony DeAngeloAssists: Noah Cates, Ivan Provorov · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–3
- P3 8:41PHIIvan ProvorovAssists: Travis Konecny, Joel Farabee · Deflected, 0.15 xG2–3
- P3 18:21CBJNick BlankenburgENAssists: Brendan Gaunce · Snap, 0.36 xG2–4
- P3 19:42CBJBoone JennerENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.46 xG2–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 5:59CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:59PHINicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:34CBJNick Blankenburg: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:34PHIJoel Farabee: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:08PHIZack MacEwen: Elbowing2 min
- P2 15:10PHIMorgan Frost: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestSedlak – MacEwen – Cates9:49
xG 1.35–0.02 (99%)attempts 13–2goals 1–0
- Laughton – Allison – Farabee7:23
xG 0.25–0.19 (56%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Laughton – Allison – Tippett4:44
xG 0.13–0.10 (57%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Hayes – Konecny – Farabee4:44
xG 0.33–0.32 (51%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeeler – Ristolainen14:51
xG 1.14–0.28 (80%)attempts 18–9goals 0–0
- DeAngelo – Provorov18:07
xG 1.09–1.01 (52%)attempts 18–19goals 1–1
- Braun – Sanheim14:34
xG 0.35–0.46 (43%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Jenner – Laine13:51
xG 0.91–0.65 (58%)attempts 16–17goals 3–0
- Nyquist – Roslovic – Bemstrom11:34
xG 0.60–0.52 (54%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Gaunce – Olivier – Foudy8:47
xG 0.36–0.47 (43%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
- Robinson – Chinakhov – Sillinger10:08
xG 0.01–0.26 (3%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Bean3:46
xG 0.17–0.04 (82%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Bean – Blankenburg2:05
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Gavrikov3:25
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).