Thu, Nov 10, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
New York Rangers 8, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 16 | 110 | 617 | 833 |
| DET | 17 | 14 | 09 | 220 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:40NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Adam Fox · Snap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 18:46DETJoseph VelenoAssists: Jonatan Berggren, Olli Maatta · Snap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 7:33DETLucas RaymondAssists: Dylan Larkin · Snap, 0.20 xG1–2
- P2 10:59NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–2
- P3 6:02NYRAdam FoxGWGAssists: Filip Chytil, Alexis Lafrenière · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 7:23NYRBarclay GoodrowAssists: Artemi Panarin, Vitali Kravtsov · Backhand, 0.09 xG4–2
- P3 8:13NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Jimmy Vesey, Chris Kreider · Wrist, 0.20 xG5–2
- P3 8:59NYRJulien GauthierAssists: Barclay Goodrow, Sammy Blais · Snap, 0.17 xG6–2
- P3 12:47NYRLibor HajekAssists: Filip Chytil, Alexis Lafrenière · Snap, 0.01 xG7–2
- P3 16:31NYRJimmy VeseySHAssists: Barclay Goodrow, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.11 xG8–2
Penalties (5)
- P2 2:41DETAdam Erne: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:02DETOskar Sundqvist: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:31DETBen Chiarot: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:37NYRVitali Kravtsov: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:07NYRFilip Chytil: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Copp won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Vesey10:31
xG 1.07–0.07 (94%)attempts 14–4goals 2–0
- Goodrow – Blais – Gauthier9:14
xG 0.30–0.15 (66%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Kravtsov10:37
xG 0.41–0.39 (51%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière11:30
xG 0.21–0.33 (39%)attempts 10–8goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren11:43
xG 1.09–0.18 (86%)attempts 12–7goals 3–1
- Trouba – Miller17:42
xG 0.85–0.51 (62%)attempts 20–11goals 1–1
- Hajek – Schneider15:07
xG 0.29–0.42 (40%)attempts 12–12goals 2–0
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestCzarnik – Veleno – Berggren11:47
xG 0.43–0.16 (73%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Sundqvist – Erne – Rasmussen9:38
xG 0.16–0.37 (31%)attempts 6–8goals 0–2
- Larkin – Suter – Raymond11:02
xG 0.27–0.66 (29%)attempts 5–12goals 1–2
- Perron – Kubalik – Copp7:21
xG 0.13–0.85 (13%)attempts 5–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Hagg – Lindstrom11:33
xG 0.26–0.54 (32%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
- Maatta – Hronek18:00
xG 0.56–0.95 (37%)attempts 16–14goals 1–2
- Chiarot – Seider14:22
xG 0.20–0.74 (22%)attempts 7–17goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).