Thu, Nov 10, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Los Angeles Kings 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 14 | 012 | 09 | 07 | 132 |
| LAK | 08 | 110 | 012 | 15 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:51CHITaylor RaddyshPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Max Domi · Slap, 0.27 xG1–0
- P2 1:41LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Trevor Moore · Slap, 0.07 xG1–1
- OT 4:58LAKKevin FialaGWGAssists: Phillip Danault, Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:19LAKBlake Lizotte: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:10CHIJason Dickinson: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:25LAKRasmus Kupari: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 19:38CHIReese Johnson: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:09LAKKevin Fiala: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:17LAKBrendan Lemieux: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:41CHIJack Johnson: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:16CHICaleb Jones: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Athanasiou – Raddysh4:18
xG 0.28–0.05 (84%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Toews – Raddysh – Kurashev4:51
xG 0.08–0.06 (57%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Lafferty – Entwistle7:10
xG 0.04–0.15 (20%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Kane – Domi – Kurashev6:36
xG 0.10–0.53 (16%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Johnson – McCabe12:40
xG 0.49–0.49 (50%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Jones – Regula11:46
xG 0.01–0.67 (2%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
- Tinordi – Murphy13:23
xG 0.20–1.30 (13%)attempts 6–18goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore10:52
xG 0.92–0.14 (87%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Fiala – Grundstrom – Kupari6:54
xG 0.54–0.00 (99%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev4:51
xG 0.32–0.08 (81%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Vilardi12:17
xG 0.49–0.25 (66%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson18:18
xG 1.51–0.22 (87%)attempts 28–5goals 0–0
- Roy – Durzi12:40
xG 0.63–0.15 (80%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Edler – Walker11:20
xG 0.47–0.32 (60%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).