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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 11, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 82% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Marcus PetterssonD · #28011+1222:550.2342.4%+19.2
Kris LetangD · #580000222:020.0233.6%0.0
Jeff PetryD · #26000+1321:040.1553.7%0.0
Brian DumoulinD · #80000120:490.0352.9%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #591010220:160.9929.9%+3.1
Sidney CrosbyC · #870110019:500.0028.5%+3.1
Bryan RustRW · #170000018:320.6533.3%0.0
Jan RuttaD · #44000+2016:340.0059.8%0.0
Jeff CarterC · #77000+1115:420.0127.0%0.0
Chad RuhwedelD · #2011+2015:140.0052.3%+18.3
Jason ZuckerLW · #16101+2414:220.5791.5%+19.2
Brock McGinnLW · #23101+1214:170.8925.4%+28.4
Evgeni MalkinC · #71112+2314:170.2991.5%+37.5
Rickard RakellRW · #67000+2114:150.0281.0%0.0
Danton HeinenLW · #43011+1013:420.0028.9%+28.4
Ryan PoehlingC · #250000110:400.1130.8%0.0
Josh ArchibaldRW · #150000110:360.8230.8%0.0
Filip HallanderC · #36000008:550.0027.9%0.0
Casey DeSmith#1W30282.9332.70+0.760:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mitch MarnerRW · #16011−2324:280.1754.8%+26.1
Morgan RiellyD · #440110223:490.0541.7%+26.1
Auston MatthewsC · #34000−2323:450.3550.1%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #78000−2019:530.0050.8%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88101−2418:540.4163.5%+26.1
John TavaresC · #91000−2218:400.2869.0%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37000+1018:230.0337.3%0.0
Justin HollD · #3000−2117:540.0154.9%0.0
Mark GiordanoD · #55000−1117:210.0567.3%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #580000115:430.2758.8%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #38000−1015:380.0166.1%0.0
David KampfC · #640110215:030.1752.1%+18.6
Alexander KerfootC · #15000−2114:060.1574.0%0.0
Denis MalginC · #620110113:130.0236.5%+18.6
Calle JarnkrokC · #190000212:320.2771.6%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #121010311:320.2148.9%+18.6
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000−1310:520.2334.3%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #47000017:490.0230.1%0.0
Erik Kallgren#50L22193.8641.80−1.258:25