Fri, Nov 11, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 82% of the time.
12%
77%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:55 | 0.23 | 42.4% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:02 | 0.02 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:04 | 0.15 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.03 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.99 | 29.9% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 28.5% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.65 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.01 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 52.3% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 14:22 | 0.57 | 91.5% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.89 | 25.4% | +28.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.29 | 91.5% | +37.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.02 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 28.9% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.11 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.82 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:55 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.70 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 24:28 | 0.17 | 54.8% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:49 | 0.05 | 41.7% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:45 | 0.35 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.00 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 18:54 | 0.41 | 63.5% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.28 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:23 | 0.03 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.01 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.05 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.27 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.01 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.17 | 52.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.15 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.02 | 36.5% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.27 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:32 | 0.21 | 48.9% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:52 | 0.23 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:49 | 0.02 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.80 | −1.2 | 58:25 |