Sun, Nov 13, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
San Jose Sharks 3, Minnesota Wild 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 06 | 010 | 218 | 03 | 2 | 337 |
| MIN | 19 | 012 | 16 | 03 | 1 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:45MINFrederick GaudreauAssists: Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P3 3:37MINConnor DewarSHAssists: Mason Shaw · Snap, 0.20 xG0–2
- P3 13:56SJSSteven LorentzAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Matt Benning · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 15:49SJSNico SturmAssists: Erik Karlsson, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. MIN Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 2. SJS Kevin Labanc stopped
- 3. MIN Kirill Kaprizov scored
- 4. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 5. MIN Frederick Gaudreau stopped
- 6. SJS Nick Bonino scored
- 7. MIN Joel Eriksson Ek stopped
- 8. SJS Alexander Barabanov scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:57MINJoseph Cramarossa: Holding2 min
- P2 6:01SJSKevin Labanc: Interference2 min
- P2 14:14SJSKevin Labanc: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:27MINCalen Addison: Holding2 min
- P3 16:56MINJoseph Cramarossa: Roughing removing opponents helmet2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestLindblom – Svechnikov – Lorentz5:43
xG 0.45–0.10 (82%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Hertl – Labanc – Meier13:12
xG 0.62–0.42 (59%)attempts 19–13goals 0–0
- Bonino – Kunin – Sturm8:28
xG 0.44–0.27 (62%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Couture – Nieto – Barabanov9:53
xG 0.43–0.47 (48%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBenning – Ferraro6:48
xG 0.33–0.10 (77%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Benning8:51
xG 0.70–0.50 (58%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Benning2:38
xG 0.08–0.00 (95%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestSteel – Shaw – Dewar2:13
xG 0.29–0.04 (89%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Eriksson Ek – Boldy9:26
xG 0.47–0.29 (62%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Shaw – Dewar – Rossi7:40
xG 0.25–0.13 (66%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Gaudreau – Kaprizov12:00
xG 0.53–0.75 (41%)attempts 11–18goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMerrill – Addison12:39
xG 0.61–0.49 (56%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
- Spurgeon – Middleton12:46
xG 0.47–0.63 (43%)attempts 14–16goals 0–0
- Dumba – Middleton2:33
xG 0.07–0.28 (19%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).