Sun, Nov 13, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Vancouver Canucks 2, Boston Bruins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 18 | 09 | 114 | 231 |
| BOS | 218 | 29 | 16 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:17BOSConnor CliftonAssists: Taylor Hall, Hampus Lindholm · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 9:05VANJ.T. MillerPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–1
- P1 17:29BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Hampus Lindholm · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 11:19BOSPavel ZachaGWGAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Connor Clifton · Slap, 0.13 xG1–3
- P2 17:23BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–4
- P3 4:34VANSheldon DriesPPUnassisted · Tip-in, 0.02 xG2–4
- P3 18:02BOSTomas NosekENAssists: Charlie Coyle, Brandon Carlo · Wrist, 0.38 xG2–5
Penalties (17)
- P1 0:44VANThatcher Demko: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 8:23VANKyle Burroughs: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:23BOSTomas Nosek: Misconduct10 min
- P1 8:23BOSTomas Nosek: Instigator2 min · PPG
- P1 8:23BOSTomas Nosek: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:10VANTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:24BOSA.J. Greer: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:24VANVasily Podkolzin: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 15:35VANJack Studnicka: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:58BOSTrent Frederic: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:20VANTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:56BOSDavid Krejci: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:48VANQuinn Hughes: Broken stick2 min
- P2 17:10VANTyler Myers: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 2:35BOSJakub Zboril: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:30BOSHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min
- P3 16:37BOSDavid Pastrnak: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Zacha
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – Pettersson – Mikheyev7:39
xG 0.21–0.14 (60%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Joshua – Hoglander – Aman2:49
xG 0.09–0.03 (74%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Miller – Horvat – Garland9:57
xG 0.38–0.36 (51%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Joshua – Studnicka – Aman4:06
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Bear11:30
xG 0.50–0.30 (63%)attempts 9–13goals 0–1
- Burroughs – Hughes6:03
xG 0.17–0.06 (73%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Schenn – Myers5:56
xG 0.18–0.17 (52%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak7:45
xG 0.41–0.06 (87%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Coyle – Zacha – Frederic7:35
xG 0.52–0.42 (56%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
- Foligno – Nosek – Greer4:04
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Krejci – Hall – DeBrusk6:48
xG 0.17–0.20 (45%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Clifton12:01
xG 0.66–0.43 (60%)attempts 12–17goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy10:51
xG 0.33–0.23 (59%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Zboril – Carlo8:47
xG 0.10–0.30 (26%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).