Tue, Nov 15, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 5 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 07 | 216 | 213 | 01 | 437 |
| CBJ | 19 | 19 | 213 | 12 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:36CBJSean KuralyAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Eric Robinson · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P2 5:36CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Kent Johnson · Tip-in, 0.17 xG0–2
- P2 8:54PHIKevin HayesAssists: Travis Konecny, Scott Laughton · Slap, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 12:16PHINoah CatesAssists: Zack MacEwen, Owen Tippett · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 3:22CBJBoone JennerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–3
- P3 3:35CBJEric RobinsonAssists: Mathieu Olivier, Marcus Bjork · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–4
- P3 4:58PHINick SeelerAssists: Morgan Frost, Joel Farabee · Slap, 0.06 xG3–4
- P3 9:14PHITravis KonecnyPPAssists: Noah Cates, Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.25 xG4–4
- OT 3:14CBJVladislav GavrikovGWGAssists: Egor Chinakhov, Cole Sillinger · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–5
Penalties (5)
- P2 3:09CBJErik Gudbranson: Interference2 min
- P2 4:27PHIOwen Tippett: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 5:29CBJSean Kuraly: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:29PHIKevin Hayes: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:41CBJBrendan Gaunce: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hayes won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestHayes – Laughton – Konecny7:02
xG 0.50–0.18 (74%)attempts 11–2goals 1–1
- Willman – MacEwen – Frost3:28
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Willman – Frost – Farabee7:34
xG 0.51–0.67 (43%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Hayes – Konecny – Tippett5:23
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Seeler4:47
xG 0.41–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Ristolainen – Sanheim7:07
xG 0.36–0.42 (46%)attempts 10–7goals 1–2
- Seeler – Ristolainen6:42
xG 0.19–0.28 (40%)attempts 2–10goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Olivier – Robinson12:04
xG 1.04–0.50 (68%)attempts 8–18goals 1–0
- Gaunce – Foudy – Johnson8:37
xG 0.58–0.16 (78%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Chinakhov – Sillinger12:19
xG 0.45–0.45 (50%)attempts 14–13goals 0–1
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Bemstrom13:44
xG 0.45–0.65 (41%)attempts 12–20goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Bjork6:31
xG 0.92–0.20 (82%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Bjork3:15
xG 0.54–0.03 (96%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Gavrikov3:20
xG 0.12–0.00 (99%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).