Sat, Nov 19, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Boston Bruins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 94% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 03 | 16 | 09 | 118 |
| BOS | 115 | 315 | 213 | 643 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:53BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 4:28BOSPatrice BergeronGWGAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–2
- P2 10:37CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Max Domi, Philipp Kurashev · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 18:10BOSJake DeBruskPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Charlie McAvoy · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–3
- P2 19:18BOSDavid KrejciAssists: A.J. Greer, Charlie McAvoy · Slap, 0.06 xG1–4
- P3 11:12BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Nick Foligno, Tomas Nosek · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–5
- P3 17:57BOSTaylor HallAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:56CHITaylor Raddysh: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 13:01CHIFilip Roos: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:22BOSConnor Clifton: Cross checking2 min
- P2 10:02BOSBrandon Carlo: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 17:44CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 0:47BOSDavid Pastrnak: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Blackwell – Khaira – Johnson8:55
xG 0.10–0.15 (41%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Lafferty – Entwistle9:21
xG 0.05–0.54 (8%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
- Kane – Athanasiou – Domi12:45
xG 0.53–1.22 (30%)attempts 7–20goals 0–1
- Toews – Raddysh – Kurashev11:04
xG 0.11–1.20 (9%)attempts 4–16goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- McCabe – Mitchell3:36
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Roos3:52
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- McCabe – Roos6:12
xG 0.16–0.32 (33%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Nosek – Greer10:05
xG 1.12–0.10 (92%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk10:13
xG 0.78–0.31 (71%)attempts 16–6goals 1–0
- Coyle – Hall – Frederic3:53
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Krejci – Hall – Pastrnak7:42
xG 0.33–0.07 (82%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy11:45
xG 0.76–0.16 (83%)attempts 19–1goals 2–0
- Lindholm – Clifton8:31
xG 0.48–0.03 (95%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Stralman – Carlo7:03
xG 0.33–0.02 (95%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 94% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).