Sat, Nov 19, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Los Angeles Kings 2, Seattle Kraken 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 113 | 19 | 01 | 229 |
| SEA | 18 | 09 | 111 | 11 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:42SEAJared McCannAssists: Matty Beniers, Jordan Eberle · Snap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 18:52LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Alexander Edler · Bat, 0.06 xG1–1
- P3 0:35LAKTrevor MooreSHAssists: Phillip Danault, Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–1
- P3 0:53SEADaniel SprongPPAssists: Justin Schultz, Matty Beniers · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
- OT 2:23SEAJordan EberleGWGAssists: Justin Schultz · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
Penalties (4)
- P2 6:22LAKSean Walker: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:45SEAJaden Schwartz: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:20LAKSean Walker: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:20LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGrundstrom – Anderson-Dolan – Kupari8:17
xG 0.32–0.03 (92%)attempts 13–2goals 0–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore13:06
xG 0.59–0.44 (57%)attempts 17–14goals 1–0
- Fiala – Lizotte – Kaliyev4:25
xG 0.17–0.14 (55%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Kopitar – Kempe – Vilardi5:57
xG 0.15–0.27 (36%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Roy17:41
xG 0.70–0.34 (68%)attempts 26–12goals 1–0
- Moverare – Walker12:29
xG 0.14–0.45 (24%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Doughty – Anderson21:55
xG 0.50–1.08 (32%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSchwartz – Burakovsky – Wennberg13:02
xG 0.74–0.29 (72%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers12:50
xG 0.50–0.33 (60%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
- Donato – Sprong – Geekie4:21
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Gourde – Donato – Tanev4:28
xG 0.26–0.20 (56%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Soucy13:26
xG 0.90–0.46 (66%)attempts 13–14goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn19:35
xG 0.55–0.44 (56%)attempts 12–23goals 0–0
- Schultz – Fleury2:23
xG 0.09–0.11 (46%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).