Tue, Nov 22, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
New York Rangers 5, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 06 | 312 | 27 | 525 |
| LAK | 213 | 010 | 115 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:35LAKKevin FialaAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 6:01LAKGabriel VilardiPPAssists: Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 2:22NYRBraden SchneiderAssists: Filip Chytil, Alexis Lafrenière · Snap, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 12:01NYRVincent TrocheckAssists: Ryan Lindgren, Adam Fox · Backhand, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 18:44NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: Filip Chytil, Alexis Lafrenière · Backhand, 0.18 xG3–2
- P3 6:12LAKSean WalkerAssists: Anze Kopitar, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–3
- P3 7:06NYRChris KreiderGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox · Slap, 0.10 xG4–3
- P3 19:10NYRChris KreiderENAssists: Jimmy Vesey, K'Andre Miller · Backhand, 0.79 xG5–3
Penalties (3)
- P1 5:47NYRVincent Trocheck: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 17:00NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:00LAKBlake Lizotte: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Goodrow – Panarin14:25
xG 0.72–0.66 (52%)attempts 18–15goals 1–1
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Vesey12:32
xG 0.22–0.19 (53%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière13:34
xG 0.27–0.44 (38%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- Carpenter – Blais – Gauthier8:14
xG 0.33–0.82 (29%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Jones – Schneider14:19
xG 0.55–0.52 (51%)attempts 15–12goals 0–1
- Fox – Lindgren17:08
xG 0.69–0.72 (49%)attempts 15–17goals 2–0
- Trouba – Miller20:06
xG 0.29–0.85 (25%)attempts 14–18goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestAnderson-Dolan – Kupari – Kaliyev8:39
xG 0.82–0.44 (65%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe15:01
xG 0.62–0.42 (60%)attempts 13–11goals 2–1
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore15:41
xG 0.33–0.29 (53%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Vilardi – Lizotte10:42
xG 0.44–0.46 (49%)attempts 12–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMoverare – Walker14:59
xG 0.97–0.27 (78%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
- Edler – Roy18:02
xG 0.81–0.60 (58%)attempts 20–21goals 1–1
- Doughty – Anderson17:48
xG 0.40–0.49 (45%)attempts 11–11goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).