Fri, Nov 25, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 5, San Jose Sharks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 210 | 110 | 29 | 529 |
| SJS | 110 | 19 | 012 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:55LAKJaret Anderson-DolanAssists: Blake Lizotte, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 13:02SJSKevin LabancAssists: Timo Meier, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 17:54LAKPhillip DanaultPPAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Sean Durzi · Slap, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 4:39LAKViktor ArvidssonGWGAssists: Kevin Fiala, Sean Durzi · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–1
- P2 19:23SJSAlexander BarabanovUnassisted · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–2
- P3 2:51LAKRasmus KupariAssists: Jaret Anderson-Dolan, Arthur Kaliyev · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–2
- P3 17:32LAKAnze KopitarENAssists: Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.69 xG5–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 1:10LAKBlake Lizotte: Tripping2 min
- P1 6:29SJSLuke Kunin: Boarding2 min
- P1 16:08SJSRadim Simek: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 15:19LAKMikey Anderson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:22LAKKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestAnderson-Dolan – Kupari – Kaliyev9:04
xG 1.06–0.12 (90%)attempts 16–4goals 1–0
- Grundstrom – Vilardi – Lizotte8:53
xG 0.28–0.43 (39%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe12:29
xG 0.33–0.59 (36%)attempts 8–12goals 0–2
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore11:56
xG 0.40–0.95 (29%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Walker12:34
xG 1.09–0.57 (66%)attempts 18–17goals 1–0
- Doughty – Anderson19:00
xG 0.71–0.80 (47%)attempts 16–13goals 1–0
- Roy – Durzi14:24
xG 0.22–0.85 (21%)attempts 6–21goals 0–2
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Labanc – Meier13:08
xG 0.84–0.28 (75%)attempts 15–8goals 1–2
- Bonino – Kunin – Gregor10:18
xG 0.45–0.09 (84%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Couture – Nieto – Barabanov8:59
xG 0.31–0.57 (35%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Lindblom – Svechnikov – Lorentz7:50
xG 0.25–1.07 (19%)attempts 11–15goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Benning12:06
xG 0.49–0.33 (60%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Ferraro3:25
xG 0.27–0.17 (61%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
- Ferraro – Simek11:52
xG 0.50–0.57 (47%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).