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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 26, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York

Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 80% of the time.

NYR winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Panarin, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 1:40Shot by Barrie, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 2:20Goal by Lafrenière (Fox, Lindgren)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fox, Lindgren, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière · EDM Foegele, Kostin, McLeod, Bouchard, Broberg

  5. P1 4:58Shot by Hyman, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 6:05Shot by Gauthier, saved by Campbell
  7. P1 8:22Shot by Trouba, saved by Campbell
  8. P1 8:26Shot by Hajek, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 8:56Shot by Kostin, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 9:08Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 9:20Shot by Bouchard, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 9:25Janmark: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Goodrow, Trouba, Vesey, Miller · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Janmark, Bouchard, Broberg

  13. P1 9:33Shot by Trocheck, saved by Campbell5v4
  14. P1 10:04Shot by Fox, saved by Campbell5v4
  15. P1 10:21Shot by Fox, saved by Campbell5v4
  16. P1 11:00Shot by Hyman, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  17. P1 14:31Shot by Kreider, saved by Campbell
  18. P1 15:36Shot by Ryan, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 16:28Shot by Barrie, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 17:48Shot by Ceci, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 18:31Shot by Panarin, saved by Campbell
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:54Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 1:10Shot by Goodrow, saved by Campbell
  26. P2 1:29Shot by Hyman, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 3:23Shot by Barrie, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 4:03Shot by McDavid, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 7:05Shot by McLeod, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 7:14Kostin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Schneider · EDM Barrie, Kulak, Foegele, Kostin, McLeod

  31. P2 8:05Shot by McDavid, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  32. P2 9:08Shot by McLeod, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  33. P2 9:54Lindgren: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Carpenter, Fox, Lindgren · EDM Draisaitl, McDavid, Puljujarvi, Bouchard, Broberg

  34. P2 10:59Draisaitl: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Goodrow, Fox, Schneider · EDM Barrie, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid

  35. P2 11:19Shot by Foegele, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  36. P2 11:38Shot by Foegele, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  37. P2 12:08Shot by Kulak, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  38. P2 12:45Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Campbell5v4
  39. P2 13:13Shot by Lindgren, saved by Campbell
  40. P2 15:54Goal by Kreider (Lindgren, Panarin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · EDM Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Puljujarvi

  41. P2 16:11Shot by Barrie, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 16:24Shot by Gauthier, saved by Campbell
  43. P2 16:27Goal by Gauthier (Carpenter, Blais)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Carpenter, Blais, Gauthier, Hajek, Schneider · EDM Malone, Barrie, Kulak, Ryan, Holloway

  44. P2 17:00Shot by Bouchard, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 19:08Shot by Nurse, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 19:20Shot by Trouba, saved by Campbell
  47. P2 19:40Shot by Foegele, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 19:42Shot by Foegele, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:32Shot by Fox, saved by Campbell
  52. P3 1:14Shot by McDavid, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 2:39Miller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Carpenter, Blais, Gauthier, Miller · EDM Barrie, Kulak, Foegele, Kostin, McLeod

  54. P3 4:40Goal by Bouchard (Puljujarvi, McLeod)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Fox, Lindgren, Miller · EDM Nurse, Puljujarvi, McLeod, Bouchard, Holloway

  55. P3 6:25Shot by Nurse, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 7:32Goal by Bouchard (Foegele, McLeod)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Goodrow, Vesey, Hajek, Schneider · EDM Foegele, McLeod, Bouchard, Broberg, Holloway

  57. P3 10:21Goal by Holloway (McLeod)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Goodrow, Trouba, Vesey, Miller · EDM Ceci, Nurse, Foegele, McLeod, Holloway

  58. P3 10:47Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 12:36Shot by Trouba, saved by Campbell
  60. P3 13:07Shot by Kakko, saved by Campbell
  61. P3 14:09Shot by Fox, saved by Campbell
  62. P3 14:57Shot by Ryan, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 17:34Lafrenière: Roughing removing opponents helmet (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Carpenter, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · EDM Barrie, Hyman, Kulak, Draisaitl, McDavid

  64. P3 17:58Goal by Draisaitl (Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid)4v5+46 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  65. P3 18:08Shot by Fox, saved by Campbell
  66. P3 18:32Shot by Trocheck, saved by Campbell
  67. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  68. P3 0:00Final