Sun, Nov 27, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Seattle Kraken 5, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 311 | 17 | 17 | 525 |
| ANA | 114 | 35 | 010 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:33SEAJared McCannAssists: Jordan Eberle, Matty Beniers · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 6:53SEAAlexander WennbergAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Adam Larsson · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–0
- P1 14:16ANATroy TerryPPAssists: Trevor Zegras, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–1
- P1 19:33SEAVince DunnAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Yanni Gourde · Snap, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 1:48ANADerek GrantAssists: Frank Vatrano, Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–2
- P2 9:30SEAMatty BeniersPPAssists: Daniel Sprong, Justin Schultz · Wrist, 0.26 xG4–2
- P2 16:34ANAMason McTavishPPAssists: Trevor Zegras, Cam Fowler · Snap, 0.08 xG4–3
- P2 17:55ANAAdam HenriquePPAssists: Troy Terry, Trevor Zegras · Snap, 0.25 xG4–4
- P3 3:41SEADaniel SprongGWGAssists: Ryan Donato, Matty Beniers · Backhand, 0.07 xG5–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 9:56SEADaniel Sprong: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:32SEAJustin Schultz: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 8:21ANAAdam Henrique: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:35SEAWill Borgen: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 16:55SEACarson Soucy: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 11:00ANATrevor Zegras: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zegras won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – McCann – Beniers10:33
xG 0.43–0.19 (70%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Donato – Sprong – Geekie4:00
xG 0.21–0.21 (50%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Donato – Sprong – Beniers2:02
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tanev9:19
xG 0.20–0.23 (46%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen13:09
xG 0.55–0.36 (60%)attempts 9–8goals 0–1
- Schultz – Oleksiak12:37
xG 0.42–0.45 (49%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn17:16
xG 0.42–0.48 (47%)attempts 7–13goals 2–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Grant – Strome – Vatrano9:00
xG 0.53–0.51 (51%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Silfverberg – Carrick – Lundeström6:36
xG 0.11–0.12 (48%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Jones – Leason – McTavish10:02
xG 0.30–0.34 (47%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
- Henrique – Terry – Zegras11:41
xG 0.26–0.65 (29%)attempts 8–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Fowler14:58
xG 0.57–0.26 (68%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Benoit2:33
xG 0.14–0.00 (99%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Benoit2:28
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).