Mon, Nov 28, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 5, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 213 | 220 | 15 | 538 |
| NYR | 211 | 010 | 117 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:20NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Filip Chytil, K'Andre Miller · Snap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 3:01NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Jacob Trouba, K'Andre Miller · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
- P1 7:33NJDTomas TatarAssists: Jesper Bratt, Nico Hischier · Backhand, 0.04 xG1–2
- P1 13:25NJDYegor SharangovichUnassisted · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–2
- P2 5:44NJDJack HughesAssists: Dawson Mercer · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P2 9:40NJDMichael McLeodGWGAssists: Miles Wood, Fabian Zetterlund · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–2
- P3 13:18NYRVincent TrocheckPPAssists: Chris Kreider, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–3
- P3 19:44NJDYegor SharangovichENAssists: Tomas Tatar · Wrist, 0.75 xG5–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 15:13NJDVitek Vanecek: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:52NYRJacob Trouba: Interference2 min
- P2 16:34NYRVincent Trocheck: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:37NJDFabian Zetterlund: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 4:42NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:43NJDDawson Mercer: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:09NJDRyan Graves: Interference2 min
- P3 12:34NJDTomas Tatar: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Bratt – Hischier8:52
xG 0.69–0.37 (65%)attempts 14–8goals 1–0
- Wood – McLeod – Zetterlund9:15
xG 0.44–0.24 (65%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Boqvist – Sharangovich – Holtz7:18
xG 0.25–0.08 (76%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Tatar – Bratt – Hughes2:16
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Severson10:36
xG 0.68–0.19 (78%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Hamilton – Severson2:19
xG 0.16–0.13 (55%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler12:51
xG 0.65–0.81 (45%)attempts 11–12goals 2–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Vesey8:06
xG 0.51–0.25 (68%)attempts 10–10goals 1–1
- Panarin – Chytil – Kakko12:23
xG 0.59–0.57 (51%)attempts 14–10goals 1–1
- Carpenter – Blais – Gauthier4:05
xG 0.11–0.22 (32%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Trocheck – Goodrow – Lafrenière8:06
xG 0.21–0.37 (36%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren13:38
xG 0.74–0.40 (65%)attempts 16–12goals 0–2
- Trouba – Miller14:25
xG 0.43–0.66 (40%)attempts 10–12goals 1–1
- Jones – Schneider8:37
xG 0.23–0.54 (30%)attempts 5–11goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).