Tue, Nov 29, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal
San Jose Sharks 4, Montréal Canadiens 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 17 | 06 | 311 | 424 |
| MTL | 08 | 06 | 014 | 028 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:33SJSMatt NietoGWGAssists: Alexander Barabanov, Logan Couture · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–0
- P3 2:29SJSTomas HertlAssists: Kevin Labanc, Nick Cicek · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–0
- P3 3:44SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Matt Benning, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–0
- P3 17:46SJSTomas HertlENAssists: Kevin Labanc, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.77 xG4–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 1:33MTLJuraj Slafkovský: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P1 3:37MTLJohnathan Kovacevic: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 7:29SJSRadim Simek: Cross checking2 min
- P1 12:27SJSNick Cicek: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 4:42MTLEvgenii Dadonov: Interference2 min
- P2 7:37SJSOskar Lindblom: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:25SJSJeffrey Viel: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:55SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:58SJSJaycob Megna: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 8:09MTLDavid Savard: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:36MTLMike Matheson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Monahan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Nieto – Barabanov7:10
xG 0.80–0.19 (81%)attempts 9–11goals 2–0
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Viel4:38
xG 0.03–0.15 (17%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Hertl – Labanc – Meier9:17
xG 0.24–0.41 (37%)attempts 4–13goals 1–0
- Bonino – Kunin – Gregor7:55
xG 0.08–0.50 (14%)attempts 3–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Benning9:36
xG 0.81–0.43 (65%)attempts 7–15goals 2–0
- Karlsson – Cicek2:00
xG 0.13–0.08 (61%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Simek – Cicek9:43
xG 0.16–0.31 (35%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestEvans – Pezzetta – Slafkovský2:57
xG 0.42–0.01 (98%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Gallagher – Dvorak6:48
xG 0.35–0.02 (94%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Anderson – Monahan – Slafkovský3:08
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Armia – Anderson – Monahan6:03
xG 0.10–0.09 (55%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Matheson10:12
xG 0.69–0.11 (87%)attempts 17–2goals 0–0
- Kovacevic – Harris8:29
xG 0.29–0.08 (79%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Harris – Guhle2:39
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).