Tue, Nov 29, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken 9, Los Angeles Kings 8 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 312 | 511 | 06 | 11 | 930 |
| LAK | 38 | 317 | 210 | 00 | 835 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:16LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 5:21SEAMatty BeniersPPAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Justin Schultz · Snap, 0.16 xG1–1
- P1 8:42SEAJared McCannAssists: Jordan Eberle, Justin Schultz · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P1 9:16LAKViktor ArvidssonPPAssists: Sean Durzi · Tip-in, 0.19 xG2–2
- P1 12:55SEAAlexander WennbergPPAssists: Daniel Sprong, Justin Schultz · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–2
- P1 18:52LAKGabriel VilardiPPAssists: Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–3
- P2 1:31SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jordan Eberle · Snap, 0.23 xG4–3
- P2 2:48LAKCarl GrundstromAssists: Blake Lizotte, Sean Walker · Slap, 0.13 xG4–4
- P2 4:56SEAJared McCannAssists: Adam Larsson, Jordan Eberle · Slap, 0.12 xG5–4
- P2 6:45LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.26 xG5–5
- P2 7:27SEADaniel SprongUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG6–5
- P2 9:50SEAOliver BjorkstrandUnassisted · Snap, 0.21 xG7–5
- P2 15:41LAKGabriel VilardiAssists: Anze Kopitar, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.17 xG7–6
- P2 19:38SEAAndre BurakovskyAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Will Borgen · Snap, 0.06 xG8–6
- P3 11:36LAKSean DurziAssists: Matt Roy, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.02 xG8–7
- P3 13:39LAKMikey AndersonAssists: Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.04 xG8–8
- OT 2:08SEAAndre BurakovskyPPGWGAssists: Jordan Eberle, Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.13 xG9–8
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:45LAKPhillip Danault: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P1 9:07SEAVince Dunn: Roughing removing opponents helmet2 min · PPG
- P1 12:37LAKSean Durzi: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 16:57SEAAdam Larsson: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 13:38SEAOliver Bjorkstrand: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:04SEAAndre Burakovsky: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:27LAKSean Durzi: Interference2 min
- OT 1:22LAKKevin Fiala: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – McCann – Beniers12:28
xG 0.75–0.50 (60%)attempts 11–12goals 3–0
- Donato – Sprong – Kuhlman5:49
xG 0.53–0.36 (59%)attempts 12–6goals 1–1
- Schwartz – Burakovsky – Wennberg14:04
xG 0.80–0.86 (48%)attempts 15–11goals 1–3
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tanev9:53
xG 0.12–0.46 (21%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen12:15
xG 1.04–0.53 (66%)attempts 16–7goals 3–1
- Schultz – Oleksiak14:33
xG 0.61–0.67 (48%)attempts 12–12goals 2–0
- Larsson – Dunn17:36
xG 0.84–0.97 (46%)attempts 14–18goals 1–3
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Fiala – Kempe14:24
xG 1.10–0.43 (72%)attempts 18–10goals 4–1
- Anderson-Dolan – Kupari – Kaliyev9:24
xG 0.40–0.50 (44%)attempts 7–12goals 0–1
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore14:34
xG 0.41–0.54 (43%)attempts 9–11goals 0–2
- Grundstrom – Vilardi – Lizotte8:37
xG 0.57–0.72 (44%)attempts 9–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson20:09
xG 1.56–0.78 (67%)attempts 18–15goals 4–2
- Edler – Walker14:17
xG 0.67–0.80 (46%)attempts 19–10goals 1–1
- Roy – Durzi14:46
xG 0.49–0.82 (37%)attempts 10–18goals 1–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).