Fri, Dec 2, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Winnipeg Jets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 211 | 210 | 05 | 426 |
| WPG | 011 | 014 | 113 | 138 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:48CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Johnny Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 10:42CBJErik GudbransonGWGAssists: Jack Roslovic, Kent Johnson · Deflected, 0.22 xG2–0
- P2 3:19CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Boone Jenner, Johnny Gaudreau · Snap, 0.09 xG3–0
- P2 12:21CBJGustav NyquistAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–0
- P3 15:30WPGPierre-Luc DuboisPPAssists: Cole Perfetti, Blake Wheeler · Wrist, 0.29 xG4–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:07CBJLiam Foudy: Holding2 min
- P1 15:47WPGJansen Harkins: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 18:54CBJGavin Bayreuther: Boarding2 min
- P2 0:11WPGBlake Wheeler: Interference2 min
- P3 1:13CBJPatrik Laine: Interference2 min
- P3 5:04CBJErik Gudbranson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:26WPGJansen Harkins: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:11CBJGustav Nyquist: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Foudy – Chinakhov – Sillinger8:42
xG 0.33–0.31 (51%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Laine12:23
xG 0.63–0.71 (47%)attempts 14–16goals 2–0
- Nyquist – Roslovic – Johnson6:22
xG 0.33–0.46 (42%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Meyer – Robinson7:44
xG 0.28–0.65 (30%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPeeke – Bayreuther8:28
xG 0.42–0.30 (58%)attempts 10–8goals 2–0
- Gudbranson – Gavrikov2:03
xG 0.14–0.02 (87%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Peeke2:11
xG 0.10–0.10 (50%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestGagner – Connor – Dubois6:55
xG 0.81–0.38 (68%)attempts 12–5goals 0–1
- Lowry – Maenalanen – Barron7:34
xG 0.50–0.10 (84%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Harkins – Eyssimont – Gustafsson6:28
xG 0.20–0.07 (75%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Perfetti9:49
xG 0.37–0.60 (38%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchmidt – Samberg10:23
xG 0.71–0.25 (74%)attempts 19–7goals 0–0
- DeMelo – Morrissey9:48
xG 0.46–0.29 (62%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Dillon – DeMelo2:49
xG 0.14–0.07 (65%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).