Sat, Dec 3, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Chicago Blackhawks 5, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 14 | 28 | 29 | 521 |
| NYR | 010 | 112 | 16 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:38CHIReese JohnsonAssists: Jake McCabe, Boris Katchouk · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 8:37CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–0
- P2 9:37CHIMax DomiPPGWGAssists: Seth Jones, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–0
- P2 17:51NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Adam Fox, Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.05 xG3–1
- P3 4:46CHITaylor RaddyshPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Max Domi · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–1
- P3 17:15NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin · Deflected, 0.17 xG4–2
- P3 18:46CHIMax DomiENAssists: Jason Dickinson, Jake McCabe · Wrist, 0.78 xG5–2
Penalties (17)
- P1 11:31NYRChris Kreider: Interference2 min
- P1 18:11CHIPetr Mrazek: Delaying game2 min
- P2 3:22NYRJacob Trouba: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:22CHIJujhar Khaira: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:17CHISeth Jones: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:34NYRMika Zibanejad: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 8:24NYRRyan Carpenter: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:46CHIBoris Katchouk: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:13NYRBarclay Goodrow: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:13CHIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 17:13NYRJacob Trouba: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:13CHIJonathan Toews: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:13CHIJonathan Toews: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 17:13CHIJonathan Toews: Instigator2 min
- P3 4:32NYRJacob Trouba: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:46NYRBarclay Goodrow: Cross checking2 min
- P3 15:46CHIColin Blackwell: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKatchouk – Entwistle – Johnson7:56
xG 0.19–0.12 (60%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Toews – Kane – Athanasiou5:19
xG 0.19–0.24 (44%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Kane – Athanasiou – Domi2:39
xG 0.04–0.22 (16%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Khaira – Dickinson8:47
xG 0.02–0.34 (6%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Jones – Roos2:48
xG 0.07–0.03 (71%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Murphy – McCabe6:22
xG 0.24–0.27 (46%)attempts 4–11goals 1–0
- McCabe – Jones9:51
xG 0.14–0.41 (26%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Vesey11:29
xG 0.95–0.20 (83%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Kravtsov10:23
xG 0.66–0.11 (86%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Kakko – Lafrenière8:09
xG 0.14–0.04 (76%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Blais – Gauthier6:00
xG 0.02–0.12 (15%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren14:22
xG 0.83–0.17 (83%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Miller – Schneider14:32
xG 0.74–0.48 (61%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Trouba – Hajek9:08
xG 0.17–0.20 (47%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).