Wed, Dec 7, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 6, San Jose Sharks 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 28 | 211 | 15 | 13 | 627 |
| SJS | 110 | 217 | 28 | 04 | 539 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:18SJSNick BoninoAssists: Matt Benning, Logan Couture · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 4:15VANDakota JoshuaAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Ethan Bear · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 19:35VANDakota JoshuaPPAssists: Conor Garland, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–1
- P2 1:34VANNils HoglanderAssists: Bo Horvat · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–1
- P2 7:27SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Alexander Barabanov, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–2
- P2 10:53SJSLogan CoutureSHAssists: Jaycob Megna · Poke, 0.23 xG3–3
- P2 19:28VANIlya MikheyevAssists: Tyler Myers · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–3
- P3 2:45SJSJonah GadjovichUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–4
- P3 11:28SJSKevin LabancAssists: Tomas Hertl, Erik Karlsson · Slap, 0.10 xG4–5
- P3 16:07VANAndrei KuzmenkoPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Bo Horvat · Tip-in, 0.07 xG5–5
- OT 4:25VANElias PetterssonGWGAssists: Andrei Kuzmenko, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.07 xG6–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:45SJSRadim Simek: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:45VANDakota Joshua: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:39VANNils Hoglander: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 18:00SJSCJ Suess: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 5:44VANRiley Stillman: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 9:22SJSScott Harrington: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:28VANTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:57SJSRadim Simek: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLazar – Joshua – Aman8:24
xG 0.70–0.14 (84%)attempts 10–4goals 1–1
- Garland – Studnicka – Kuzmenko10:01
xG 0.24–0.25 (49%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Boeser – Pettersson – Mikheyev9:34
xG 0.44–0.48 (48%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
- Miller – Horvat – Hoglander9:53
xG 0.01–0.97 (1%)attempts 4–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Stillman13:52
xG 0.61–0.54 (53%)attempts 14–19goals 1–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Bear12:52
xG 0.52–0.77 (41%)attempts 8–10goals 1–2
- Schenn – Hughes14:07
xG 0.20–0.97 (17%)attempts 10–24goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestBonino – Couture – Barabanov11:39
xG 0.71–0.08 (90%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Svechnikov – Kunin – Sturm9:18
xG 0.31–0.19 (61%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Suess – Lindblom – Gadjovich4:44
xG 0.23–0.14 (63%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Hertl – Meier – Kunin2:41
xG 0.09–0.01 (87%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKarlsson – Megna18:47
xG 1.27–0.64 (66%)attempts 27–14goals 2–2
- Harrington – Simek10:10
xG 0.55–0.23 (70%)attempts 17–4goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Benning11:41
xG 0.36–0.66 (35%)attempts 6–15goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).