Fri, Dec 9, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 3, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 113 | 111 | 18 | 332 |
| CHI | 07 | 19 | 07 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:21WPGCole PerfettiAssists: Josh Morrissey · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 0:56WPGBlake WheelerPPGWGAssists: Josh Morrissey, Kyle Connor · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 11:04CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Philipp Kurashev · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 12:25WPGAdam LowryAssists: Jansen Harkins, Morgan Barron · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 16:37WPGSam Gagner: Cross checking2 min
- P1 19:23CHIJack Johnson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 19:23CHIJack Johnson: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:11CHIReese Johnson: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:11WPGDylan DeMelo: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:11CHIReese Johnson: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:11WPGDylan DeMelo: Illegal check to head2 min
- P2 14:17CHIJonathan Toews: Interference2 min
- P2 17:17WPGDylan DeMelo: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:29CHIPatrick Kane: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:15WPGCole Perfetti: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubois won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Scheifele – Perfetti9:33
xG 0.89–0.14 (86%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Lowry – Harkins – Barron8:01
xG 0.48–0.00 (100%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Gagner – Jonsson-Fjallby – Gustafsson7:33
xG 0.35–0.30 (54%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Connor – Dubois – Eyssimont9:19
xG 0.41–0.42 (50%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Morrissey11:29
xG 0.58–0.12 (83%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Schmidt – Pionk2:42
xG 0.46–0.07 (87%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Morrissey – Pionk4:57
xG 0.41–0.09 (82%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDomi – Raddysh – Kurashev10:13
xG 0.31–0.24 (56%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Khaira – Dickinson – Entwistle8:01
xG 0.18–0.28 (39%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Lafferty – Johnson6:28
xG 0.13–0.38 (26%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
- Toews – Kane – Athanasiou13:28
xG 0.46–1.65 (22%)attempts 9–23goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Tinordi – Murphy7:40
xG 0.15–0.22 (41%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
- McCabe – Mitchell2:37
xG 0.10–0.19 (35%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Johnson – Jones4:50
xG 0.11–0.24 (31%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).