Fri, Dec 9, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
San Jose Sharks 6, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 17 | 312 | 29 | 628 |
| ANA | 07 | 17 | 010 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:18SJSTimo MeierAssists: Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 6:19SJSScott HarringtonGWGAssists: Kevin Labanc, Timo Meier · Slap, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 7:53SJSErik KarlssonPPAssists: Alexander Barabanov, Tomas Hertl · Slap, 0.08 xG3–0
- P2 8:01SJSNico SturmAssists: Matt Benning · Backhand, 0.09 xG4–0
- P2 9:37ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Cam Fowler, Dmitry Kulikov · Snap, 0.05 xG4–1
- P3 16:18SJSNick BoninoENAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Matt Benning · Wrist, 0.38 xG5–1
- P3 16:43SJSSteven LorentzAssists: Evgeny Svechnikov, Alexander Barabanov · Wrist, 0.17 xG6–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 11:20ANAMason McTavish: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 6:55ANADmitry Kulikov: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:44SJSAlexander Barabanov: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:59ANAKevin Shattenkirk: High sticking2 min
- P3 2:52ANATrevor Zegras: Interference2 min
- P3 3:28SJSAlexander Barabanov: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:36SJSScott Harrington: Cross checking2 min
- P3 16:54SJSJonah Gadjovich: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:54ANASam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:47SJSTimo Meier: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:47ANAMax Jones: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McTavish won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Labanc – Meier10:51
xG 0.63–0.09 (87%)attempts 11–4goals 2–0
- Svechnikov – Kunin – Sturm7:20
xG 0.39–0.08 (83%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Gadjovich4:32
xG 0.15–0.06 (73%)attempts 6–2goals 0–1
- Bonino – Couture – Barabanov7:33
xG 0.17–0.17 (50%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHarrington – Simek11:56
xG 0.94–0.13 (88%)attempts 16–11goals 2–1
- Vlasic – Benning14:07
xG 0.67–0.36 (65%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Megna11:46
xG 0.54–0.38 (59%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Vatrano – Terry2:18
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Carrick – Comtois3:44
xG 0.18–0.22 (45%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
- Henrique – Terry – Zegras8:19
xG 0.28–0.40 (41%)attempts 6–8goals 1–1
- Strome – Megna – Vatrano4:11
xG 0.02–0.17 (12%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Klingberg2:08
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Fowler12:53
xG 0.36–0.58 (38%)attempts 7–9goals 1–1
- Klingberg – Benoit11:23
xG 0.03–0.51 (6%)attempts 2–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).