Sun, Dec 11, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Los Angeles Kings 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 011 | 311 | 216 | 00 | 538 |
| CBJ | 210 | 37 | 07 | 12 | 626 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:44CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Kent Johnson · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 9:28CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Jack Roslovic, Johnny Gaudreau · Deflected, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 4:42LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 8:25LAKBlake LizotteAssists: Carl Grundstrom, Alex Iafallo · Snap, 0.17 xG2–2
- P2 10:03CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Jack Roslovic, Erik Gudbranson · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
- P2 15:02LAKJaret Anderson-DolanAssists: Sean Durzi · Snap, 0.06 xG3–3
- P2 18:00CBJJack RoslovicSHAssists: Eric Robinson, Vladislav Gavrikov · Slap, 0.13 xG3–4
- P2 19:31CBJJack RoslovicPPAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Patrik Laine · Snap, 0.10 xG3–5
- P3 4:52LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Sean Walker · Snap, 0.26 xG4–5
- P3 5:31LAKAdrian KempeUnassisted · Snap, 0.06 xG5–5
- OT 0:40CBJJohnny GaudreauGWGAssists: Patrik Laine, Vladislav Gavrikov · Deflected, 0.22 xG5–6
Penalties (5)
- P1 9:11LAKSean Walker: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 12:41LAKBlake Lizotte: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:15CBJKirill Marchenko: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:23CBJAndrew Peeke: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:10LAKKevin Fiala: Broken stick2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Roslovic
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKempe – Vilardi – Iafallo13:00
xG 1.14–0.51 (69%)attempts 21–10goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kaliyev14:41
xG 0.92–0.39 (70%)attempts 16–10goals 2–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore13:30
xG 0.88–0.47 (65%)attempts 16–16goals 0–1
- Grundstrom – Anderson-Dolan – Lizotte5:49
xG 0.11–0.19 (37%)attempts 5–5goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestWalker – Bjornfot13:09
xG 1.36–0.62 (69%)attempts 21–13goals 2–0
- Edler – Roy16:58
xG 0.84–0.38 (69%)attempts 22–14goals 1–1
- Anderson – Durzi20:01
xG 1.03–0.77 (57%)attempts 21–19goals 2–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Olivier – Robinson7:36
xG 0.53–0.19 (73%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Roslovic – Laine – Chinakhov14:49
xG 0.53–0.77 (41%)attempts 17–19goals 1–0
- Nyquist – Gaudreau – Jenner14:58
xG 0.46–0.76 (37%)attempts 10–16goals 0–1
- Marchenko – Johnson – Sillinger8:55
xG 0.16–0.50 (24%)attempts 4–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Peeke – Christiansen8:25
xG 0.27–0.46 (37%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Gavrikov – Bjork17:40
xG 0.49–1.23 (29%)attempts 14–20goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Berni19:58
xG 0.32–1.25 (20%)attempts 13–30goals 1–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).