Sun, Dec 11, 2022·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Boston Bruins 3, Vegas Golden Knights 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 06 | 112 | 29 | 327 |
| VGK | 15 | 012 | 014 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:03VGKMark StonePPAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Ben Hutton · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–1
- P2 3:54BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: David Pastrnak, Connor Clifton · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P3 2:10BOSJake DeBruskGWGAssists: Pavel Zacha, Taylor Hall · Snap, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 9:04BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Derek Forbort · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:04BOSA.J. Greer: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P1 17:40BOSBrad Marchand: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:30VGKNicolas Roy: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:29VGKBen Hutton: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:49BOSCharlie Coyle: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:42BOSHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roy won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHall – Zacha – DeBrusk5:54
xG 0.52–0.19 (74%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic3:54
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Hall – Pastrnak – Zacha6:10
xG 0.25–0.15 (63%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk3:32
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestForbort – Clifton10:18
xG 0.39–0.20 (66%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Clifton2:14
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo11:09
xG 0.45–0.47 (49%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Amadio – Leschyshyn8:04
xG 0.55–0.21 (72%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Carrier – Kolesar – Roy8:29
xG 0.39–0.36 (52%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault9:42
xG 0.17–0.38 (31%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
- Stone – Stephenson – Cotter11:43
xG 0.12–0.66 (16%)attempts 4–20goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Hague3:59
xG 0.35–0.11 (77%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- McNabb – Hutton2:44
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- McNabb – Whitecloud5:55
xG 0.37–0.47 (44%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).