Mon, Dec 12, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 3, New York Rangers 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 26 | 113 | 09 | 01 | 329 |
| NYR | 17 | 211 | 04 | 11 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:05NJDNico HischierAssists: Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.00 xG1–0
- P1 4:46NJDDawson MercerUnassisted · Snap, 0.30 xG2–0
- P1 18:25NYRChris KreiderAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Jimmy Vesey · Slap, 0.09 xG2–1
- P2 11:05NJDJack HughesAssists: Dawson Mercer, Dougie Hamilton · Backhand, 0.07 xG3–1
- P2 13:58NYRVincent TrocheckPPAssists: Adam Fox, Mika Zibanejad · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–2
- P2 14:05NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: K'Andre Miller, Filip Chytil · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–3
- OT 2:15NYRFilip ChytilGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, K'Andre Miller · Snap, 0.13 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 13:39NYRJimmy Vesey: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:39NJDDamon Severson: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:45NYRLibor Hajek: Holding2 min
- P2 8:07NJDErik Haula: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:50NYRBraden Schneider: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P2 13:27NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 16:00NYRJonny Brodzinski: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Bratt – Hischier12:48
xG 1.04–0.04 (96%)attempts 13–3goals 1–0
- Haula – Hughes – Mercer12:37
xG 0.93–0.05 (95%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Wood – McLeod – Zetterlund11:32
xG 0.43–0.24 (64%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
- Boqvist – Sharangovich – Holtz2:42
xG 0.12–0.11 (53%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Severson12:31
xG 1.26–0.18 (87%)attempts 17–10goals 1–0
- Graves – Marino12:45
xG 0.68–0.02 (98%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler14:53
xG 0.72–0.40 (65%)attempts 14–12goals 1–2
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Zibanejad – Goodrow – Panarin8:44
xG 0.09–0.17 (34%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière8:27
xG 0.19–0.47 (29%)attempts 6–7goals 1–1
- Goodrow – Panarin – Chytil3:11
xG 0.00–0.30 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
- Brodzinski – Blais – Gauthier7:17
xG 0.12–0.52 (19%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Hajek – Schneider2:21
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Trouba – Hajek7:56
xG 0.20–0.33 (38%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Fox – Miller2:04
xG 0.02–0.17 (10%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).