Thu, Dec 15, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 2, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 07 | 18 | 19 | 224 |
| NJD | 116 | 014 | 019 | 149 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:20NJDJack HughesPPAssists: Dougie Hamilton · Snap, 0.19 xG0–1
- P2 4:12PHIScott LaughtonPPAssists: Travis Sanheim, Noah Cates · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P3 11:46PHITravis KonecnyGWGAssists: Noah Cates · Slap, 0.29 xG2–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 3:26PHIKevin Hayes: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 16:43NJDMiles Wood: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 3:47NJDRyan Graves: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 5:04NJDDougie Hamilton: Cross checking2 min
- P2 6:02NJDErik Haula: Throwing equipment2 min
- P2 8:25NJDMichael McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:25PHINicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:55NJDBrendan Smith: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:55PHIJoel Farabee: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:11PHINick Seeler: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:33PHITravis Konecny: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cates won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLaughton – Konecny – Cates5:15
xG 0.42–0.11 (79%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Laughton – Lycksell – Farabee5:06
xG 0.19–0.20 (49%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Sedlak – MacEwen3:52
xG 0.04–0.26 (13%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Tippett – Frost9:24
xG 0.38–0.60 (39%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Braun – Seeler4:20
xG 0.10–0.18 (35%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Sanheim – York5:41
xG 0.07–0.23 (24%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Braun – Sanheim9:23
xG 0.38–0.56 (40%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBratt – Sharangovich – Hughes9:36
xG 1.12–0.40 (74%)attempts 21–7goals 0–0
- Tatar – Hischier – Zetterlund7:48
xG 0.25–0.15 (63%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- McLeod – Boqvist – Holtz6:24
xG 0.16–0.09 (63%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Haula – Wood – Mercer10:17
xG 0.64–0.58 (52%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Severson8:08
xG 0.71–0.25 (74%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Graves – Marino13:51
xG 0.82–0.40 (67%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler12:46
xG 0.50–0.20 (71%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).