Sat, Dec 17, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Boston Bruins 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 011 | 111 | 111 | 233 |
| BOS | 111 | 111 | 217 | 439 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:17BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Brad Marchand · Snap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 14:00CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Patrik Laine · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–1
- P2 17:50BOSDavid KrejciPPAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Taylor Hall · Slap, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 12:41BOSTaylor HallGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–3
- P3 13:00BOSTomas NosekAssists: Derek Forbort, Craig Smith · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–4
- P3 14:29CBJPatrik LainePPAssists: Marcus Bjork, Johnny Gaudreau · Slap, 0.02 xG2–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:14CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 9:33BOSNick Foligno: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:15BOSCharlie Coyle: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:13CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:42BOSCharlie Coyle: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:45BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:45CBJJohnny Gaudreau: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:22BOSDavid Krejci: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:27CBJAndrew Peeke: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 14:10BOSPavel Zacha: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Coyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Olivier – Robinson7:14
xG 0.66–0.35 (66%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Nyquist – Roslovic – Chinakhov2:11
xG 0.01–0.02 (37%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Marchenko – Johnson – Sillinger4:38
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Roslovic – Laine – Chinakhov8:14
xG 0.28–0.36 (43%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPeeke – Christiansen8:29
xG 0.14–0.04 (78%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke2:47
xG 0.07–0.15 (32%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Bjork11:30
xG 0.47–0.96 (33%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk7:59
xG 0.74–0.18 (80%)attempts 16–5goals 0–0
- Krejci – Hall – Pastrnak5:09
xG 0.53–0.15 (78%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha5:06
xG 0.50–0.14 (79%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Foligno – Smith – Nosek6:47
xG 0.84–0.50 (63%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Carlo8:34
xG 1.32–0.17 (89%)attempts 19–3goals 0–0
- Forbort – Carlo3:31
xG 0.27–0.04 (88%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Forbort – Clifton7:39
xG 0.61–0.39 (61%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).