Sat, Dec 17, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 17 | 113 | 05 | 00 | 1 | 225 |
| LAK | 112 | 117 | 05 | 07 | 2 | 341 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:54LAKPhillip DanaultPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Pheonix Copley · Backhand, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 13:23SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Logan Couture, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
- P2 15:26SJSKevin LabancAssists: Timo Meier · Slap, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 16:16LAKJaret Anderson-DolanAssists: Mikey Anderson, Gabriel Vilardi · Snap, 0.20 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Gabriel Vilardi stopped
- 2. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 3. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 4. SJS Nick Bonino stopped
- 5. LAK Kevin Fiala scored
- 6. SJS Kevin Labanc scored
- 7. LAK Trevor Moore scored
- 8. SJS Alexander Barabanov stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:45SJSRadim Simek: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 12:51LAKRasmus Kupari: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 16:08SJSJaycob Megna: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:47SJSEvgeny Svechnikov: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:25SJSNoah Gregor: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:13LAKKevin Fiala: Hooking2 min
- OT 0:17LAKPhillip Danault: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestBonino – Couture – Barabanov10:29
xG 0.58–0.14 (80%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
- Svechnikov – Gregor – Sturm8:49
xG 0.71–0.32 (69%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Hertl – Labanc – Meier11:47
xG 0.55–0.68 (45%)attempts 15–14goals 1–0
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Gadjovich8:49
xG 0.03–0.26 (10%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKarlsson – Megna17:23
xG 0.86–0.51 (63%)attempts 18–15goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Harrington3:18
xG 0.36–0.24 (60%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Harrington – Simek10:17
xG 0.47–0.40 (54%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestAnderson-Dolan – Vilardi – Kupari6:25
xG 0.45–0.18 (72%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Anderson-Dolan – Iafallo – Lizotte2:19
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe13:12
xG 0.42–0.49 (46%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
- Danault – Moore – Iafallo9:59
xG 0.29–0.53 (35%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Spence11:02
xG 0.54–0.21 (72%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Roy – Durzi15:05
xG 0.70–0.72 (49%)attempts 20–17goals 0–1
- Doughty – Anderson18:22
xG 0.44–0.86 (34%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).