Sun, Dec 18, 2022·United Center, Chicago
New York Rangers 7, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 38 | 211 | 27 | 726 |
| CHI | 010 | 19 | 011 | 130 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:04NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.23 xG1–0
- P1 16:55NYRArtemi PanarinGWGAssists: Adam Fox, Vincent Trocheck · Snap, 0.13 xG2–0
- P1 19:03NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: Filip Chytil, Alexis Lafrenière · Snap, 0.11 xG3–0
- P2 1:33CHIPhilipp KurashevUnassisted · Deflected, 0.03 xG3–1
- P2 10:28NYRJacob TroubaAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.03 xG4–1
- P2 19:44NYRVincent TrocheckPPAssists: Adam Fox, Mika Zibanejad · Deflected, 0.13 xG5–1
- P3 8:56NYRVitali KravtsovAssists: Artemi Panarin, Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.13 xG6–1
- P3 13:37NYRJonny BrodzinskiAssists: Braden Schneider, Kaapo Kakko · Deflected, 0.15 xG7–1
Penalties (2)
- P1 13:23NYRRyan Lindgren: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:36CHIMax Domi: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestChytil – Kakko – Lafrenière4:32
xG 0.55–0.09 (87%)attempts 5–4goals 2–0
- Zibanejad – Panarin – Kravtsov2:14
xG 0.37–0.02 (94%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Kreider – Trocheck – Vesey13:06
xG 0.53–0.31 (63%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
- Brodzinski – Blais – Kakko2:32
xG 0.15–0.02 (87%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren16:29
xG 0.72–0.36 (67%)attempts 13–13goals 3–0
- Trouba – Miller17:05
xG 0.97–0.89 (52%)attempts 18–12goals 1–1
- Harpur – Lindgren2:20
xG 0.16–0.28 (36%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Raddysh – Kurashev13:00
xG 0.71–0.63 (53%)attempts 22–11goals 1–2
- Kane – Domi – Lafferty14:07
xG 0.91–0.90 (50%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Athanasiou – Dickinson – Entwistle10:26
xG 0.22–0.26 (46%)attempts 8–5goals 0–2
- Blackwell – Khaira – Johnson10:04
xG 0.12–0.66 (15%)attempts 5–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Jones4:47
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Murphy – Jones2:37
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Tinordi – Murphy5:54
xG 0.11–0.05 (68%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).