Tue, Dec 20, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 011 | 15 | 09 | 125 |
| LAK | 012 | 216 | 213 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:46LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Slap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 14:27ANAFrank VatranoPPAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Jakob Silfverberg · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–1
- P2 19:39LAKAlex IafalloGWGAssists: Phillip Danault, Trevor Moore · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
- P3 3:25LAKViktor ArvidssonAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Blake Lizotte · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 10:44LAKKevin FialaAssists: Adrian Kempe · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 6:30ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Cross checking2 min
- P1 8:55LAKViktor Arvidsson: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:44LAKAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P2 4:47ANAAdam Henrique: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 7:24ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:00ANATroy Terry: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 12:41LAKMatt Roy: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 3:39LAKArthur Kaliyev: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 11:10ANAMaxime Comtois: Interference2 min
- P3 11:10ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:10LAKMikey Anderson: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:08LAKAlex Iafallo: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lizotte won the faceoff against McTavish
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestCarrick – Megna – Kirkland7:13
xG 0.29–0.14 (68%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Henrique – Terry – Zegras8:17
xG 0.41–0.61 (40%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Strome – Vatrano7:30
xG 0.38–0.74 (34%)attempts 8–14goals 0–1
- Comtois – Leason – McTavish9:15
xG 0.08–0.54 (13%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Klingberg – Benoit9:58
xG 0.54–0.84 (39%)attempts 11–18goals 0–1
- Shattenkirk – Beaulieu9:18
xG 0.13–0.45 (23%)attempts 4–15goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Fowler10:39
xG 0.14–0.78 (15%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestArvidsson – Lizotte – Kaliyev9:27
xG 0.75–0.14 (84%)attempts 14–8goals 1–0
- Danault – Moore – Iafallo6:48
xG 0.43–0.09 (83%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Anderson-Dolan – Vilardi – Kupari7:38
xG 0.31–0.11 (74%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe10:00
xG 0.77–0.59 (57%)attempts 14–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson12:20
xG 0.99–0.18 (85%)attempts 20–5goals 1–0
- Roy – Durzi12:07
xG 0.90–0.35 (72%)attempts 19–13goals 1–0
- Edler – Spence11:58
xG 0.41–0.46 (47%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).