Thu, Dec 22, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Seattle Kraken 5, Vancouver Canucks 6 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 19 | 314 | 111 | 02 | 1 | 536 |
| VAN | 19 | 114 | 313 | 01 | 2 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:01SEAJared McCannAssists: Matty Beniers, Carson Soucy · Snap, 0.00 xG1–0
- P1 17:17VANLane PedersonAssists: Elias Pettersson, Andrei Kuzmenko · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 3:28SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 3:38SEADaniel SprongAssists: Adam Larsson, Morgan Geekie · Tip-in, 0.06 xG3–1
- P2 8:09VANElias PetterssonAssists: Luke Schenn, Andrei Kuzmenko · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–2
- P2 13:29SEAAlexander WennbergAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Will Borgen · Wrist, 0.23 xG4–2
- P3 5:13VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Lane Pederson, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–3
- P3 6:17SEADaniel SprongAssists: Brandon Tanev · Tip-in, 0.08 xG5–3
- P3 8:52VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Tip-in, 0.13 xG5–4
- P3 18:40VANElias PetterssonAssists: J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.20 xG5–5
Shootout
- 1. SEA Ryan Donato stopped
- 2. VAN Andrei Kuzmenko stopped
- 3. SEA Daniel Sprong stopped
- 4. VAN J.T. Miller scored
- 5. SEA Jordan Eberle scored
- 6. VAN Elias Pettersson scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:20SEAAndre Burakovsky: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:18VANKyle Burroughs: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:18SEABrandon Tanev: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:00VANKyle Burroughs: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:18SEAYanni Gourde: Slashing2 min · PPG
- OT 4:00SEAJordan Eberle: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Burakovsky – Donato11:44
xG 0.83–0.33 (71%)attempts 18–10goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg12:28
xG 0.91–0.49 (65%)attempts 20–12goals 2–0
- Sprong – Tanev – Geekie6:53
xG 0.29–0.03 (91%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers11:29
xG 0.56–0.38 (59%)attempts 13–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Oleksiak16:39
xG 1.04–0.56 (65%)attempts 19–17goals 1–1
- Larsson – Dunn21:27
xG 1.09–0.67 (62%)attempts 27–19goals 2–0
- Soucy – Borgen10:05
xG 0.29–0.38 (43%)attempts 12–10goals 1–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPederson – Pettersson – Kuzmenko11:18
xG 0.67–0.41 (62%)attempts 13–12goals 3–0
- Miller – Joshua – Boeser5:39
xG 0.20–0.23 (46%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Horvat – Garland – Mikheyev7:43
xG 0.11–0.18 (38%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Horvat – Boeser – Mikheyev5:12
xG 0.26–0.37 (41%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson7:23
xG 0.21–0.38 (36%)attempts 4–8goals 1–1
- Schenn – Hughes8:15
xG 0.21–0.40 (35%)attempts 6–9goals 0–2
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson9:03
xG 0.23–0.42 (35%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).