Fri, Dec 23, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 4, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 05 | 413 | 05 | 423 |
| NJD | 111 | 012 | 217 | 340 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:36NJDJack HughesPPAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 3:12BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Jake DeBrusk · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 4:34BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: David Krejci, Pavel Zacha · Snap, 0.25 xG2–1
- P2 9:52BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: David Krejci, Connor Clifton · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–1
- P2 17:27BOSJake DeBruskGWGAssists: Brad Marchand · Snap, 0.33 xG4–1
- P3 11:01NJDTomas TatarAssists: Nico Hischier, Brendan Smith · Snap, 0.16 xG4–2
- P3 13:47NJDYegor SharangovichAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Tomas Tatar · Snap, 0.16 xG4–3
Penalties (3)
- P1 12:21NJDErik Haula: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:29BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 18:27BOSCharlie McAvoy: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Haula won the faceoff against Zacha
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Pastrnak – Zacha13:42
xG 0.98–0.49 (67%)attempts 15–17goals 2–1
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk9:07
xG 0.58–0.43 (57%)attempts 8–13goals 2–0
- Foligno – Nosek – Greer3:56
xG 0.05–0.01 (80%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Nosek – Greer – Frederic2:28
xG 0.01–0.00 (73%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Carlo16:07
xG 0.74–0.36 (67%)attempts 7–15goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Clifton3:44
xG 0.34–0.03 (93%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy16:35
xG 0.45–0.25 (64%)attempts 14–20goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Hischier – Boqvist3:15
xG 0.51–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 1–0
- Boqvist – Sharangovich – Holtz4:53
xG 0.50–0.06 (89%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Tatar – Hischier – Zetterlund8:23
xG 0.73–0.45 (62%)attempts 14–5goals 0–1
- Haula – Bratt – Hughes11:46
xG 0.35–0.31 (53%)attempts 14–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Okhotiuk3:39
xG 0.52–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Hamilton – Severson4:17
xG 0.54–0.07 (88%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Severson – Siegenthaler2:47
xG 0.26–0.06 (81%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).