Fri, Dec 23, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 05 | 117 | 17 | 229 |
| CHI | 214 | 29 | 115 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:29CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 16:00CHIMax DomiAssists: Patrick Kane, Tyler Johnson · Slap, 0.17 xG0–2
- P2 2:31CHIAndreas AthanasiouGWGAssists: Sam Lafferty, Ian Mitchell · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
- P2 3:24CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Jonathan Toews, Philipp Kurashev · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–4
- P2 13:48CBJKirill MarchenkoPPAssists: Marcus Bjork, Jack Roslovic · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–4
- P3 3:21CBJMarcus BjorkAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Jack Roslovic · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–4
- P3 12:16CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Max Domi · Snap, 0.21 xG2–5
Penalties (17)
- P2 7:33CBJMathieu Olivier: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 7:33CHIConnor Murphy: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:27CBJJack Roslovic: Holding2 min
- P2 12:20CHIJason Dickinson: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 18:28CHIJack Johnson: Holding2 min
- P3 4:40CHIJason Dickinson: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:41CHIBoris Katchouk: Boarding2 min
- P3 7:44CBJSean Kuraly: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:44CHIBoris Katchouk: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:44CBJSean Kuraly: Cross checking2 min
- P3 10:06CBJTim Berni: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:20CBJMarcus Bjork: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 16:27CBJErik Gudbranson: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:27CBJErik Gudbranson: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:27CBJErik Gudbranson: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:27CHIBoris Katchouk: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:07CHIAndreas Athanasiou: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Lafferty
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Gaudreau – Marchenko – Johnson2:24
xG 0.01–0.01 (38%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Meyer – Foudy – Dunne3:38
xG 0.04–0.15 (23%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Olivier – Robinson8:11
xG 0.25–0.51 (33%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Gaudreau – Laine – Johnson8:03
xG 0.03–0.36 (9%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Berni11:41
xG 0.72–0.63 (53%)attempts 15–8goals 0–2
- Gudbranson – Boqvist2:47
xG 0.03–0.03 (58%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Peeke – Boqvist11:08
xG 0.07–0.27 (21%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAthanasiou – Dickinson – Lafferty7:51
xG 0.76–0.10 (88%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Kane – Johnson – Domi10:10
xG 0.51–0.31 (62%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- Khaira – Katchouk – Entwistle6:49
xG 0.26–0.08 (77%)attempts 8–2goals 0–1
- Toews – Raddysh – Kurashev9:57
xG 0.24–0.50 (32%)attempts 6–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Phillips9:14
xG 0.86–0.16 (84%)attempts 16–7goals 2–0
- McCabe – Jones11:22
xG 0.56–0.28 (67%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
- Jones – Phillips2:21
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).