Wed, Dec 28, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 3, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 08 | 113 | 26 | 327 |
| NJD | 016 | 06 | 19 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:57BOSTrent FredericAssists: Hampus Lindholm · Snap, 0.19 xG1–0
- P3 6:11NJDNico HischierAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, Tomas Tatar · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- P3 15:51BOSPatrice BergeronGWGAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 18:11BOSPavel ZachaENAssists: Charlie Coyle, David Pastrnak · Snap, 0.78 xG3–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:47NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:32NJDKevin Bahl: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:32BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:21BOSCharlie McAvoy: Interference2 min
- P2 13:55NJDKevin Bahl: Holding2 min
- P2 16:19NJDKevin Bahl: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:42BOSPatrice Bergeron: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Haula won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk10:09
xG 1.48–0.49 (75%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
- Foligno – Greer – Frederic5:19
xG 0.34–0.21 (62%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Krejci – Hall – Pastrnak2:04
xG 0.00–0.06 (6%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Hall9:07
xG 0.53–1.00 (35%)attempts 10–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Carlo15:51
xG 1.31–0.50 (72%)attempts 13–15goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy14:02
xG 0.49–0.51 (49%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Forbort – Clifton13:38
xG 0.86–1.10 (44%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Bratt – Hughes12:44
xG 1.18–0.08 (94%)attempts 18–5goals 0–0
- Boqvist – Sharangovich – Mercer8:37
xG 0.71–0.30 (70%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Tatar – Hischier – Zetterlund8:55
xG 0.43–0.80 (35%)attempts 11–13goals 1–1
- Wood – McLeod – Thompson8:03
xG 0.24–0.90 (21%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Okhotiuk12:49
xG 0.68–0.21 (76%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler13:26
xG 0.96–0.68 (58%)attempts 22–11goals 1–0
- Hamilton – Severson2:20
xG 0.83–0.71 (54%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).