Sat, Dec 31, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Los Angeles Kings 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 110 | 15 | 28 | 423 |
| LAK | 211 | 07 | 011 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:46LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Drew Doughty, Kevin Fiala · Slap, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 12:15PHIScott LaughtonPPAssists: Cam York, Owen Tippett · Slap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 13:12LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Viktor Arvidsson · Slap, 0.17 xG1–2
- P2 9:02PHIOwen TippettAssists: Tony DeAngelo, James van Riemsdyk · Snap, 0.08 xG2–2
- P3 13:01PHINoah CatesSHGWGAssists: Nick Seeler, Rasmus Ristolainen · Snap, 0.02 xG3–2
- P3 19:33PHITravis KonecnyENAssists: Scott Laughton, Noah Cates · Wrap-around, 0.80 xG4–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 8:41PHICam York: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 8:49PHITravis Konecny: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:47LAKCarl Grundstrom: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 16:03PHIJoel Farabee: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:06PHINick Seeler: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:03LAKMikey Anderson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 12:16PHIIvan Provorov: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:24LAKGabriel Vilardi: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Cates
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- van Riemsdyk – Tippett – Frost8:19
xG 0.15–0.17 (46%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Hayes – Laughton – Allison8:29
xG 0.29–0.34 (46%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Brown – MacEwen6:55
xG 0.18–0.27 (40%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Konecny – Cates – Farabee10:30
xG 0.37–1.08 (25%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeeler – Ristolainen11:47
xG 0.32–0.17 (65%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Provorov – York14:28
xG 0.66–0.89 (43%)attempts 12–19goals 0–0
- Sanheim – DeAngelo13:34
xG 0.26–0.91 (23%)attempts 7–12goals 1–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Byfield9:54
xG 0.59–0.13 (82%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Iafallo11:24
xG 0.87–0.45 (66%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Fiala – Vilardi – Lizotte9:53
xG 0.45–0.32 (59%)attempts 13–5goals 0–1
- Grundstrom – Anderson-Dolan – Kupari6:03
xG 0.17–0.17 (50%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson15:39
xG 1.27–0.41 (76%)attempts 18–8goals 1–0
- Roy – Durzi12:39
xG 0.41–0.24 (63%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
- Edler – Walker12:09
xG 0.48–0.56 (46%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).