Sat, Dec 31, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 19 | 05 | 014 | 128 |
| CBJ | 115 | 214 | 19 | 438 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:33CHIAndreas AthanasiouAssists: Isaak Phillips, Sam Lafferty · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 18:40CBJEmil BemstromPPAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Adam Boqvist · Snap, 0.15 xG1–1
- P2 3:50CBJGustav NyquistSHGWGAssists: Jack Roslovic · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 19:57CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Gavin Bayreuther · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 19:21CBJGustav NyquistENAssists: Sean Kuraly · Wrist, 0.42 xG1–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:45CHISeth Jones: Slashing2 min
- P1 14:06CBJCole Sillinger: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:29CHISeth Jones: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 0:55CBJTim Berni: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:55CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:33CBJMarcus Bjork: Holding2 min
- P3 0:26CHIConnor Murphy: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:30CBJMathieu Olivier: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sillinger won the faceoff against Lafferty
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBlackwell – Katchouk – Johnson6:56
xG 0.22–0.08 (74%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Johnson – Raddysh – Kurashev3:39
xG 0.11–0.00 (97%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Athanasiou – Dickinson – Lafferty10:41
xG 0.28–0.24 (54%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Toews – Kane – Domi5:06
xG 0.15–0.22 (41%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Phillips11:42
xG 0.51–0.25 (67%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
- Johnson – Murphy2:49
xG 0.05–0.09 (35%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- McCabe – Jones11:59
xG 0.21–0.28 (42%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Marchenko – Johnson11:02
xG 0.69–0.37 (65%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Nyquist – Roslovic – Bemstrom8:59
xG 0.51–0.21 (71%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Olivier – Foudy7:46
xG 0.33–0.10 (76%)attempts 7–3goals 0–1
- Meyer – Robinson – Sillinger10:56
xG 0.25–0.09 (73%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Bjork14:20
xG 0.80–0.52 (61%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Berni14:45
xG 0.48–0.29 (62%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Bayreuther – Boqvist10:38
xG 0.06–0.22 (22%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).