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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 31, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 2, Detroit Red Wings 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 55% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Walman, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 2:34Shot by Walman, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 3:19Perron: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Kubalik, Walman, Veleno, Seider · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  5. P1 4:12Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Hellberg4v5
  6. P1 6:17Shot by Giroux, saved by Hellberg
  7. P1 6:33Zub: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Kubalik, Oesterle, Larkin, Raymond · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  8. P1 8:00Shot by Watson, saved by Hellberg5v4
  9. P1 8:51Shot by Erne, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 10:36Goal by Watson (DeBrincat, Batherson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Maatta, Kubalik, Oesterle, Suter, Raymond · OTT Holden, Watson, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker, Pinto

  11. P1 10:50Shot by Seider, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 11:48Shot by Holden, saved by Hellberg
  13. P1 13:18Shot by Walman, saved by Talbot
  14. P1 15:08Shot by Kelly, saved by Hellberg
  15. P1 15:27Goal by Giroux (Stützle, Tkachuk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  16. P1 15:44Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Hellberg
  17. P1 16:06Shot by Chiarot, saved by Talbot
  18. P1 17:45Shot by Lucchini, saved by Hellberg
  19. P1 18:21Shot by Stützle, saved by Hellberg
  20. P1 18:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hellberg
  21. P1 18:56Tkachuk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Walman, Hronek · OTT Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Zub

  22. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:25Shot by Raymond, saved by Talbot5v4
  25. P2 0:36Shot by Perron, saved by Talbot5v4
  26. P2 2:35Shot by Soderblom, saved by Talbot
  27. P2 7:10Shot by Perron, saved by Talbot
  28. P2 7:57Shot by Kelly, saved by Hellberg
  29. P2 8:42Goal by Suter (Raymond)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Oesterle, Hronek, Suter, Berggren, Raymond · OTT Holden, Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto

  30. P2 13:06Raymond: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Hronek, Berggren, Raymond · OTT Holden, DeBrincat, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Pinto

  31. P2 15:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Talbot4v5
  32. P2 15:32Chabot: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Larkin, Hronek · OTT Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  33. P2 15:38Shot by Chiarot, saved by Talbot4v4
  34. P2 17:52Raymond: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Copp, Oesterle, Larkin, Raymond · OTT Hamonic, DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto, Sanderson

  35. P2 18:35Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Hellberg4v5
  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 1:18Goal by Raymond (Maatta, Berggren)+28 pts WP

    On ice: DET Maatta, Copp, Hronek, Berggren, Raymond · OTT Hamonic, DeBrincat, Gambrell, Batherson, Sanderson

  39. P3 2:36Goal by Soderblom (Veleno, Walman)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kubalik, Walman, Veleno, Seider, Soderblom · OTT Brassard, Watson, Chabot, Kastelic, Zub

  40. P3 3:13Goal by Rasmussen, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  41. P3 3:42Shot by Berggren, saved by Talbot
  42. P3 4:59Shot by Perron, saved by Talbot
  43. P3 6:27Shot by Gambrell, saved by Hellberg
  44. P3 9:47Shot by Soderblom, saved by Talbot
  45. P3 10:05Shot by Oesterle, saved by Talbot
  46. P3 11:23Shot by Chiarot, saved by Talbot
  47. P3 11:36Shot by Perron, saved by Talbot
  48. P3 12:16Shot by Watson, saved by Hellberg
  49. P3 12:23Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hellberg
  50. P3 12:25Shot by Stützle, saved by Hellberg
  51. P3 13:04Shot by Sanderson, saved by Hellberg
  52. P3 14:32Shot by Hamonic, saved by Hellberg
  53. P3 16:37Tkachuk: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Hronek, Veleno, Berggren, Raymond · OTT Giroux, Holden, DeBrincat, Gambrell, Bernard-Docker, Lucchini

  54. P3 16:42Shot by Giroux, saved by Hellberg5v4
  55. P3 17:22Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Talbot5v4
  56. P3 17:30Shot by Seider, saved by Talbot5v4
  57. P3 17:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Talbot5v4
  58. P3 18:42Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Hellberg5v6
  59. P3 19:48Shot by Batherson, saved by Hellberg5v6
  60. P3 19:51Shot by Giroux, saved by Hellberg5v6
  61. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  62. P3 0:00Final