Sun, Jan 1, 2023·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 013 | 310 | 25 | 528 |
| CHI | 06 | 210 | 06 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:40CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Ian Mitchell · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 13:30CHISam LaffertyAssists: Andreas Athanasiou · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–2
- P2 15:12SJSJonah GadjovichAssists: Oskar Lindblom, Erik Karlsson · Tip-in, 0.22 xG1–2
- P2 15:53SJSMarc-Edouard VlasicAssists: Matt Benning, Logan Couture · Deflected, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 18:34SJSAlexander BarabanovGWGAssists: Logan Couture, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–2
- P3 3:52SJSTimo MeierAssists: Tomas Hertl, Scott Harrington · Wrist, 0.27 xG4–2
- P3 12:55SJSEvgeny SvechnikovAssists: Nick Bonino, Oskar Lindblom · Wrist, 0.16 xG5–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 10:54CHISam Lafferty: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:53CHIMax Domi: Kneeing2 min
- P2 0:54CHIAndreas Athanasiou: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 9:17SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:04SJSTomas Hertl: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:30SJSTomas Hertl: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Lafferty
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Labanc – Meier4:43
xG 0.44–0.09 (84%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Nieto – Hertl – Labanc4:14
xG 0.35–0.01 (98%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Couture – Nieto – Barabanov4:44
xG 0.32–0.08 (79%)attempts 4–2goals 2–0
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Gadjovich8:34
xG 0.35–0.25 (59%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKarlsson – Megna14:37
xG 1.53–0.35 (82%)attempts 22–7goals 3–0
- Vlasic – Benning11:21
xG 0.30–0.24 (55%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Harrington – Ferraro14:18
xG 0.47–0.47 (50%)attempts 6–20goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBlackwell – Katchouk – Johnson7:31
xG 0.26–0.07 (79%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Toews – Raddysh – Kurashev9:16
xG 0.22–0.42 (34%)attempts 14–4goals 0–1
- Kane – Johnson – Domi10:20
xG 0.20–0.50 (29%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- Athanasiou – Dickinson – Lafferty10:11
xG 0.24–0.65 (27%)attempts 7–9goals 1–3
Defence pairs
- McCabe – Mitchell2:08
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- McCabe – Jones14:37
xG 0.44–0.66 (40%)attempts 18–11goals 1–1
- Johnson – Murphy6:16
xG 0.18–0.42 (31%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).