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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 3, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

New York Islanders 6, Vancouver Canucks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 75% of the time.

VAN winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Dries, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 3:59Shot by Dries, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 4:34Shot by Pederson, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 5:10Shot by Mayfield, saved by Martin
  6. P1 6:12Shot by Horvat, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 6:47Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 8:01Shot by Kuzmenko, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 8:40Shot by Aho, saved by Martin
  10. P1 8:43Shot by Mayfield, saved by Martin
  11. P1 9:46Shot by Bear, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 11:52Shot by Aho, saved by Martin
  13. P1 14:30Shot by Parise, saved by Martin
  14. P1 14:36Shot by Parise, saved by Martin
  15. P1 15:04Shot by Mayfield, saved by Martin
  16. P1 15:25Lee: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VAN Ekman-Larsson, Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Bear, Mikheyev · NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier, Aho

  17. P1 15:31Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  18. P1 16:18Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin5v4
  19. P1 17:38Shot by Bear, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 18:08Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Martin
  21. P1 18:23Goal by Horvat (Ekman-Larsson, Boeser)+19 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Horvat, Boeser, Mikheyev · NYI Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Aho

  22. P1 19:03Shot by Martin, saved by Martin
  23. P1 19:04Shot by Parise, saved by Martin
  24. P1 19:35Shot by Horvat, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:26Goal by Räty (Johnston, Martin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Lazar, Joshua, Lockwood, Hughes · NYI Martin, Mayfield, Johnston, Wotherspoon, Räty

  28. P2 2:49Shot by Mayfield, saved by Martin
  29. P2 3:29Shot by Garland, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 3:59Shot by Bailey, saved by Martin
  31. P2 6:52Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 7:12Miller: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Schenn, Miller, Garland, Dries, Hughes · NYI Parise, Pageau, Beauvillier, Dobson, Romanov

  33. P2 7:57Shot by Bailey, saved by Martin4v5
  34. P2 7:59Shot by Parise, saved by Martin4v5
  35. P2 9:25Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 9:34Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 10:00Shot by Aho, saved by Martin
  38. P2 11:12Shot by Romanov, saved by Martin
  39. P2 11:13Shot by Nelson, saved by Martin
  40. P2 11:14Myers: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Myers, Lazar, Joshua, Lockwood, Hughes · NYI Lee, Nelson, Fasching, Dobson, Romanov

  41. P2 12:55Shot by Pulock, saved by Martin4v5
  42. P2 12:56Goal by Pageau (Pulock, Barzal)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Lazar, Bear, Hughes · NYI Parise, Bailey, Pageau, Pulock, Barzal

  43. P2 14:22Shot by Lee, saved by Martin
  44. P2 14:43Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 15:05Shot by Bear, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 16:28Goal by Barzal, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Pederson, Pettersson, Kuzmenko · NYI Bailey, Cizikas, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov

  47. P2 18:29Martin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Lazar, Joshua, Bear, Garland, Hughes · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pulock, Barzal, Wotherspoon

  48. P2 18:54Goal by Horvat (Miller, Hughes)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Horvat, Pettersson, Hughes, Kuzmenko · NYI Parise, Pageau, Mayfield, Dobson

  49. P2 19:45Shot by Lee, saved by Martin
  50. P2 19:46Shot by Lee, saved by Martin
  51. P2 19:57Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:46Goal by Lee (Nelson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Horvat, Boeser, Bear, Hughes, Mikheyev · NYI Lee, Nelson, Fasching, Pulock, Aho

  55. P3 2:33Shot by Dermott, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 6:51Shot by Parise, saved by Martin
  57. P3 9:44Goal by Cizikas (Barzal, Wotherspoon)+4 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Schenn, Miller, Dermott, Garland, Dries · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Barzal, Wotherspoon, Beauvillier

  58. P3 10:03Shot by Schenn, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 16:20Mayfield: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VAN Myers, Ekman-Larsson, Horvat, Pederson, Dries, Kuzmenko · NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Fasching, Wotherspoon

  60. P3 16:52Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin6v4
  61. P3 17:42Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin6v4
  62. P3 17:51Goal by Pageau (Romanov, Cizikas)6v40 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes, Kuzmenko · NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Pulock, Romanov

  63. P3 18:18Shot by Joshua, saved by Sorokin5v4
  64. P3 18:37Shot by Räty, saved by Martin
  65. P3 18:56Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final