Sun, Jan 8, 2023·Honda Center, Anaheim
Boston Bruins 7, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 212 | 213 | 317 | 742 |
| ANA | 16 | 012 | 011 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:49BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: David Krejci, Pavel Zacha · Slap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 9:46BOSDavid KrejciGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Pavel Zacha · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–0
- P1 16:55ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Ryan Strome, Frank Vatrano · Slap, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 11:56BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–1
- P2 12:13BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–1
- P3 6:20BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Trent Frederic, Charlie Coyle · Wrap-around, 0.10 xG5–1
- P3 11:26BOSHampus LindholmUnassisted · Snap, 0.05 xG6–1
- P3 16:10BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.22 xG7–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 16:55ANAMaxime Comtois: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 16:55BOSBrad Marchand: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 18:26BOSDavid Pastrnak: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:24ANARyan Strome: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 15:24BOSPavel Zacha: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:34ANAJohn Klingberg: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McTavish won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Hall – Frederic12:23
xG 0.97–0.22 (81%)attempts 19–9goals 1–1
- Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha9:20
xG 0.51–0.15 (77%)attempts 10–4goals 4–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith11:19
xG 0.39–0.29 (58%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Foligno – Wagner – Nosek9:22
xG 0.29–0.47 (38%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Carlo13:05
xG 0.96–0.25 (79%)attempts 15–7goals 2–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy13:51
xG 0.80–0.36 (69%)attempts 15–13goals 3–1
- Grzelcyk – Carlo2:01
xG 0.16–0.01 (92%)attempts 1–1goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Terry – McTavish12:43
xG 0.66–0.36 (65%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
- Megna – Comtois – Leason3:50
xG 0.04–0.04 (45%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Strome – Vatrano – Zegras7:44
xG 0.25–0.28 (47%)attempts 4–8goals 1–1
- Silfverberg – Carrick – Comtois5:11
xG 0.11–0.15 (42%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Klingberg2:52
xG 0.15–0.03 (84%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – White3:23
xG 0.19–0.25 (43%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Kulikov – Benoit3:54
xG 0.18–0.28 (40%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).