Wed, Jan 11, 2023·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 3, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 08 | 113 | 29 | 330 |
| LAK | 122 | 18 | 27 | 437 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:59LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Quinton Byfield, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P2 1:20SJSNick BoninoUnassisted · Backhand, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 6:58LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Mikey Anderson · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 10:11SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Logan Couture, Erik Karlsson · Snap, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 12:40LAKGabriel VilardiAssists: Sean Durzi, Matt Roy · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–3
- P3 13:33LAKDrew DoughtyGWGAssists: Phillip Danault, Alex Iafallo · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–4
- P3 17:54SJSTomas HertlAssists: Alexander Barabanov, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.22 xG3–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 6:22SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Holding2 min
- P2 11:27SJSTomas Hertl: Holding2 min
- P2 12:26LAKDrew Doughty: Holding2 min
- P3 9:21LAKSean Walker: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Bonino – Eyssimont – Sturm8:18
xG 0.34–0.31 (52%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Gadjovich7:03
xG 0.23–0.35 (40%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Hertl – Labanc – Meier12:40
xG 0.62–1.02 (38%)attempts 17–16goals 0–2
- Couture – Nieto – Barabanov10:53
xG 0.36–1.00 (27%)attempts 10–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBenning – Megna2:50
xG 0.38–0.01 (97%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Ferraro4:19
xG 0.29–0.09 (76%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Ferraro2:33
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Grundstrom – Kupari8:09
xG 0.38–0.05 (88%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Danault – Anderson-Dolan – Iafallo10:56
xG 0.75–0.45 (63%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Fiala – Vilardi – Lizotte11:48
xG 0.88–0.78 (53%)attempts 12–17goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield12:12
xG 0.88–0.83 (51%)attempts 16–12goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Walker14:16
xG 0.76–0.37 (67%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson17:13
xG 1.03–0.90 (53%)attempts 15–21goals 2–2
- Roy – Durzi17:03
xG 1.23–1.36 (48%)attempts 20–26goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).