Thu, Jan 12, 2023·TD Garden, Boston
Seattle Kraken 3, Boston Bruins 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 114 | 19 | 18 | 331 |
| BOS | 08 | 010 | 09 | 027 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:14SEABrandon TanevGWGAssists: Daniel Sprong · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–0
- P2 19:21SEAEeli TolvanenAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Yanni Gourde · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P3 18:10SEAJaden SchwartzENAssists: Vince Dunn, Adam Larsson · Wrist, 0.40 xG3–0
Penalties (4)
- P1 1:50BOSHampus Lindholm: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:21BOSCraig Smith: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:39SEAJustin Schultz: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:59BOSBrad Marchand: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koppanen won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSchwartz – Wennberg – McCann9:19
xG 0.90–0.16 (85%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Donato – Sprong – Tanev7:14
xG 0.36–0.07 (83%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen9:09
xG 0.28–0.78 (26%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- Eberle – Burakovsky – Beniers10:06
xG 0.27–0.84 (24%)attempts 5–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Oleksiak13:26
xG 1.03–0.47 (69%)attempts 17–10goals 1–0
- Larsson – Oleksiak2:22
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn17:10
xG 0.88–1.14 (44%)attempts 15–16goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Hall – Frederic5:35
xG 0.72–0.11 (87%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak6:59
xG 0.52–0.08 (87%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith3:13
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Foligno – Nosek – Koppanen3:50
xG 0.25–0.21 (54%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Clifton3:58
xG 0.53–0.22 (71%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy4:15
xG 0.34–0.10 (77%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Clifton2:20
xG 0.28–0.05 (84%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).