Fri, Jan 13, 2023·Honda Center, Anaheim
New Jersey Devils 6, Anaheim Ducks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 312 | 116 | 211 | 639 |
| ANA | 06 | 116 | 111 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:02NJDDougie HamiltonAssists: Dawson Mercer, Jesper Boqvist · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 10:53NJDJesper BrattAssists: Ryan Graves, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–0
- P1 16:15NJDJack HughesPPGWGAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Tomas Tatar · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P2 11:59NJDJesper BrattAssists: Jack Hughes, Damon Severson · Wrap-around, 0.07 xG4–0
- P2 13:35ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Troy Terry · Wrist, 0.18 xG4–1
- P3 2:30NJDJesper BoqvistAssists: Damon Severson · Snap, 0.13 xG5–1
- P3 15:03ANATrevor ZegrasPPAssists: Adam Henrique, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.15 xG5–2
- P3 15:39NJDJack HughesAssists: Yegor Sharangovich · Tip-in, 0.17 xG6–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 11:33NJDRyan Graves: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:52ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 9:12NJDBrendan Smith: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:12ANASam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:12NJDBrendan Smith: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:38NJDYegor Sharangovich: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:00ANARyan Strome: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00ANARyan Strome: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:27NJDDougie Hamilton: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carrick won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMcLeod – Boqvist – Mercer12:27
xG 0.87–0.51 (63%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Wood – Sharangovich – Foote5:02
xG 0.27–0.04 (88%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Haula – Wood – Foote3:45
xG 0.25–0.04 (87%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hischier9:12
xG 0.53–0.35 (60%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Graves14:23
xG 1.23–0.22 (85%)attempts 23–8goals 1–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler13:14
xG 0.77–0.57 (57%)attempts 15–13goals 2–0
- Smith – Okhotiuk10:37
xG 0.36–0.21 (63%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Terry – McTavish10:20
xG 0.93–0.43 (68%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Megna – Jones – Leason7:24
xG 0.40–0.49 (45%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Strome – Vatrano – Zegras9:40
xG 0.59–0.79 (43%)attempts 14–9goals 0–2
- Silfverberg – Carrick – Comtois8:22
xG 0.23–0.58 (29%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Benoit2:12
xG 0.15–0.04 (80%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Fowler10:56
xG 0.58–0.55 (51%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Shattenkirk – Vaakanainen11:23
xG 0.78–0.79 (50%)attempts 14–10goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).