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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 14, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 77% of the time.

CAR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:43Shot by de Haan, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 1:52Shot by Stastny, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 1:57Shot by Pesce, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 3:13Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:44Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 6:07Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 6:25Shot by Friedman, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 6:36Shot by Skjei, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 8:36Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 8:55Shot by Burns, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 10:20Shot by Svechnikov, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 11:10Heinen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Aho · PIT Carter, Malkin, Dumoulin, Zucker, Ruhwedel, Friedman

  15. P1 11:20Shot by Teravainen, saved by DeSmith5v4
  16. P1 12:26Shot by Pesce, saved by DeSmith5v4
  17. P1 13:03Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by DeSmith5v4
  18. P1 13:06Shot by Noesen, saved by DeSmith5v4
  19. P1 13:55Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 14:12Shot by Necas, saved by DeSmith
  21. P1 14:37Shot by Rakell, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 15:12Shot by Teravainen, saved by DeSmith
  23. P1 15:21Shot by O'Connor, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 16:27Shot by Rakell, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 17:02Goal by Skjei (Pesce, Martinook)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce · PIT Malkin, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell, Friedman

  26. P1 19:04Shot by Teravainen, saved by DeSmith
  27. P1 19:07Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 19:57Shot by Skjei, saved by DeSmith
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:55Chatfield: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stastny, de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov · PIT Carter, Ruhwedel, Kapanen, Smith, O'Connor

  32. P2 3:15Shot by Teravainen, saved by DeSmith4v5
  33. P2 3:50Shot by Carter, saved by Andersen4v5
  34. P2 3:57Shot by Friedman, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 4:46Shot by Noesen, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 4:47Shot by Noesen, saved by DeSmith
  37. P2 4:48Shot by Noesen, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 8:10Shot by Joseph, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 8:30Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 9:14Goal by Chatfield (Aho)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Fast, Martinook, Aho, Chatfield · PIT Blueger, McGinn, Heinen, Joseph, Smith

  41. P2 9:56Shot by de Haan, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 11:10Shot by Burns, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 11:17Shot by Staal, saved by DeSmith
  44. P2 13:10McGinn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stepan, de Haan, Noesen, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi · PIT Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Joseph, O'Connor

  45. P2 13:50Shot by Skjei, saved by DeSmith5v4
  46. P2 14:09Shot by Teravainen, saved by DeSmith5v4
  47. P2 14:37Shot by Aho, saved by DeSmith5v4
  48. P2 14:44Shot by Burns, saved by DeSmith5v4
  49. P2 15:56Shot by Staal, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 16:11Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 17:06Shot by Pesce, saved by DeSmith
  52. P2 18:10de Haan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stastny, de Haan, Martinook, Chatfield, Necas · PIT Malkin, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell, Friedman

  53. P2 18:35Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen4v5
  54. P2 18:36Staal: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rakell, Guentzel, Smith

  55. P2 19:05Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen3v5
  56. P2 19:42Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen3v5
  57. P2 0:00Period end3v5
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:12Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen4v5
  60. P3 0:56Shot by Svechnikov, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 1:36Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 2:48Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 3:07Shot by Jarvis, saved by DeSmith
  64. P3 3:08Shot by Aho, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 3:41Shot by O'Connor, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 4:09Shot by Rutta, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 6:59Martinook: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, de Haan, Fast, Martinook, Chatfield · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rakell, Rutta, Smith

  68. P3 7:45Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen4v5
  69. P3 7:48Goal by Rakell, unassisted4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rakell, Guentzel, Smith

  70. P3 8:15Shot by Svechnikov, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 8:36Shot by Necas, saved by DeSmith
  72. P3 9:41Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 9:48Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 10:20Shot by Jarvis, saved by DeSmith
  75. P3 11:22Shot by Friedman, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 13:32Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 13:39Chatfield: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, de Haan, Fast, Martinook, Chatfield · PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rakell, Ruhwedel, Smith

  78. P3 14:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen4v5
  79. P3 15:18Shot by Kapanen, saved by Andersen4v5
  80. P3 15:40Shot by Aho, saved by DeSmith
  81. P3 18:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen5v6
  82. P3 18:56Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen5v6
  83. P3 18:57Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen5v6
  84. P3 18:58Burns: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Burns, Stastny, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rust, Rakell, Guentzel, Joseph

  85. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  86. P3 0:00Final