Sat, Jan 14, 2023·United Center, Chicago
Seattle Kraken 8, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 611 | 010 | 29 | 830 |
| CHI | 18 | 18 | 311 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:50SEADaniel SprongAssists: Morgan Geekie, Brandon Tanev · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–0
- P1 4:40CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Taylor Raddysh, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P1 9:30SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P1 10:46SEAJared McCannAssists: Ryan Donato · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–1
- P1 12:08SEAAndre BurakovskyAssists: Matty Beniers, Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–1
- P1 12:45SEAEeli TolvanenAssists: Yanni Gourde, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.10 xG5–1
- P1 13:11SEAJared McCannGWGAssists: Ryan Donato, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.05 xG6–1
- P2 10:45CHIIsaak PhillipsAssists: Jason Dickinson · Backhand, 0.07 xG6–2
- P3 0:51CHIMax DomiPPAssists: Taylor Raddysh, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.04 xG6–3
- P3 1:54SEAJared McCannAssists: Adam Larsson, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.02 xG7–3
- P3 2:37SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Jamie Oleksiak, Yanni Gourde · Wrist, 0.16 xG8–3
- P3 16:50CHITaylor RaddyshPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.16 xG8–4
- P3 19:45CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Max Domi · Wrist, 0.17 xG8–5
Penalties (3)
- P1 15:17CHIJake McCabe: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 19:02SEAJustin Schultz: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 15:57SEADaniel Sprong: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Entwistle won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSprong – Tanev – Geekie8:11
xG 0.51–0.02 (95%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Wennberg – McCann – Donato8:55
xG 0.18–0.11 (63%)attempts 6–8goals 3–1
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen12:03
xG 0.24–0.24 (50%)attempts 14–5goals 1–1
- Donato – Sprong – Geekie2:16
xG 0.00–0.10 (1%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn19:27
xG 1.28–0.07 (95%)attempts 20–4goals 6–0
- Schultz – Oleksiak13:02
xG 0.37–0.44 (45%)attempts 13–13goals 1–3
- Soucy – Borgen14:43
xG 0.18–0.43 (29%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Athanasiou – Domi10:14
xG 0.63–0.05 (92%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Dickinson – Lafferty – Kurashev6:23
xG 0.08–0.13 (38%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Toews – Johnson – Raddysh12:07
xG 0.15–0.21 (43%)attempts 11–6goals 1–2
- Kane – Domi – Kurashev3:15
xG 0.19–0.25 (43%)attempts 3–3goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Jones17:52
xG 0.57–0.32 (64%)attempts 21–7goals 1–1
- Jones – Phillips15:56
xG 0.40–0.70 (36%)attempts 8–17goals 2–2
- Johnson – Murphy15:32
xG 0.32–0.78 (29%)attempts 8–15goals 0–4
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).