Sat, Jan 14, 2023·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
New Jersey Devils 5, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 16 | 37 | 115 | 528 |
| LAK | 115 | 111 | 011 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:32LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 12:51NJDTomas TatarPPAssists: Nico Hischier, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–1
- P2 2:37NJDErik HaulaAssists: Dawson Mercer · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 6:48LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Gabriel Vilardi · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–2
- P2 7:40NJDNikita OkhotiukGWGAssists: Ondrej Palat, Jack Hughes · Snap, 0.04 xG3–2
- P2 10:57NJDRyan GravesAssists: Yegor Sharangovich · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–2
- P3 18:56NJDJesper BrattENAssists: Yegor Sharangovich, Ryan Graves · Wrist, 0.74 xG5–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:51LAKQuinton Byfield: Holding2 min
- P1 5:54NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 8:39NJDTomas Tatar: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:03LAKKevin Fiala: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 17:54NJDBrendan Smith: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:27NJDMiles Wood: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 0:56LAKAlex Iafallo: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:19NJDBrendan Smith: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Bratt – Hischier2:48
xG 0.23–0.01 (97%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Bratt – Hischier – Sharangovich7:43
xG 0.51–0.54 (49%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- McLeod – Boqvist – Mercer9:25
xG 0.34–0.38 (48%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Haula – Wood – Foote5:30
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Smith – Okhotiuk9:58
xG 0.24–0.26 (47%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler12:32
xG 0.24–0.41 (37%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
- Severson – Graves17:32
xG 0.85–1.36 (39%)attempts 17–23goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Fiala – Kempe3:15
xG 0.38–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Iafallo12:40
xG 0.59–0.42 (58%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
- Fiala – Vilardi – Lizotte8:40
xG 0.32–0.19 (63%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Anderson-Dolan – Kupari5:58
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 9–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson17:05
xG 0.89–0.25 (78%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Roy – Durzi15:14
xG 1.02–1.00 (50%)attempts 23–17goals 0–1
- Edler – Walker9:17
xG 0.27–0.27 (51%)attempts 12–12goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).