Mon, Jan 16, 2023·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
New Jersey Devils 4, San Jose Sharks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 14 | 016 | 217 | 04 | 1 | 441 |
| SJS | 213 | 06 | 110 | 03 | 0 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:29NJDRyan GravesAssists: Nico Hischier, Yegor Sharangovich · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 16:44SJSTimo MeierAssists: Michael Eyssimont, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–1
- P1 19:56SJSErik KarlssonPPAssists: Timo Meier, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 0:11NJDNico HischierAssists: Ondrej Palat, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 5:56SJSNick BoninoAssists: Michael Eyssimont, Matt Benning · Poke, 0.07 xG2–3
- P3 19:50NJDJack HughesAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NJD Tomas Tatar scored
- 2. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 3. NJD Jesper Bratt stopped
- 4. SJS Alexander Barabanov stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 18:50NJDMiles Wood: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 2:29SJSMatt Benning: Interference2 min
- P3 3:52NJDJack Hughes: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:41NJDMiles Wood: Too many men on the ice2 min
- OT 2:46NJDTomas Tatar: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- OT 2:46SJSMichael Eyssimont: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestWood – McLeod – Mercer5:44
xG 0.41–0.20 (67%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hischier6:28
xG 0.20–0.04 (83%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Tatar – Palat – Hughes5:12
xG 0.14–0.09 (61%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Tatar – Haula – Hughes7:20
xG 0.20–0.23 (45%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Severson – Graves14:15
xG 0.63–0.61 (51%)attempts 12–11goals 2–1
- Hamilton – Severson2:37
xG 0.11–0.12 (47%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Smith – Okhotiuk8:30
xG 0.24–0.28 (46%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Eyssimont12:10
xG 1.00–0.37 (73%)attempts 15–11goals 1–2
- Couture – Nieto – Barabanov11:58
xG 0.42–0.34 (55%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Gadjovich5:27
xG 0.11–0.08 (58%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Bonino – Gregor – Sturm9:41
xG 0.31–0.48 (39%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBenning – Megna2:44
xG 0.41–0.07 (85%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Ferraro3:59
xG 0.18–0.07 (71%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Cicek11:39
xG 0.43–0.41 (51%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).