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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 16, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Anaheim Ducks 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.

PIT winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:06Shot by Terry, saved by DeSmith
  3. P1 2:07Shot by McTavish, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 3:14Shot by Smith, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 4:16Goal by Zucker (Malkin, Rakell)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rakell, Ruhwedel, Joseph · ANA Silfverberg, Carrick, Klingberg, Vatrano, Benoit

  6. P1 4:58Shattenkirk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Blueger, Pettersson, Friedman, O'Connor · ANA Shattenkirk, Strome, Vaakanainen, Comtois, Zegras

  7. P1 5:05Shot by Benoit, saved by DeSmith5v4
  8. P1 6:42Shot by Smith, saved by Gibson5v4
  9. P1 7:14Shot by Carrick, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 8:13Shot by McGinn, saved by Gibson
  11. P1 9:35Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 10:58Shot by Terry, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 11:31Shot by Rakell, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 12:20Shot by Jones, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 12:34Shot by Benoit, saved by DeSmith
  16. P1 14:14Shot by Strome, saved by DeSmith
  17. P1 15:22Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Gibson
  18. P1 15:47Shot by Joseph, saved by Gibson
  19. P1 15:50Shot by McGinn, saved by Gibson
  20. P1 16:05Shot by Silfverberg, saved by DeSmith
  21. P1 16:39Shot by Blueger, saved by Gibson
  22. P1 17:02Shot by Zegras, saved by DeSmith
  23. P1 17:04Friedman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Blueger, Pettersson, Friedman, O'Connor · ANA Shattenkirk, Henrique, Strome, Vaakanainen, Zegras

  24. P1 17:45Shot by Terry, saved by DeSmith4v5
  25. P1 17:49Shot by McTavish, saved by DeSmith4v5
  26. P1 17:50Goal by Henrique (McTavish, Terry)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel · ANA Henrique, Fowler, Terry, Zegras, McTavish

  27. P1 17:59Shot by Carrick, saved by DeSmith
  28. P1 18:15Shot by Rust, saved by Gibson
  29. P1 18:32Shot by Smith, saved by Gibson
  30. P1 19:27Shot by Fowler, saved by DeSmith
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:56Shot by Klingberg, saved by DeSmith
  34. P2 1:11Shot by Carter, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 2:26Shot by Zucker, saved by Gibson
  36. P2 2:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Gibson
  37. P2 2:43Shot by Megna, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 4:55Shot by Carter, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 5:16Shot by Strome, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 5:59Shot by Rakell, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 7:51Shot by Carrick, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 8:06Shot by Kapanen, saved by Gibson
  43. P2 8:38Shot by Smith, saved by Gibson
  44. P2 8:39Shot by Rakell, saved by Gibson
  45. P2 8:46Goal by Malkin (Rakell, Zucker)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell, Smith · ANA Silfverberg, Carrick, Klingberg, Vatrano, Benoit

  46. P2 10:50Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by DeSmith
  47. P2 12:36Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gibson
  48. P2 12:51Silfverberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel, Smith · ANA Silfverberg, Kulikov, Fowler, Carrick, Vatrano

  49. P2 13:02Shot by Crosby, saved by Gibson5v4
  50. P2 13:09Shot by Malkin, saved by Gibson5v4
  51. P2 13:11Kulikov: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rakell, Guentzel, Smith · ANA Henrique, Kulikov, Carrick, Benoit

  52. P2 13:36Shot by Malkin, saved by Gibson5v3
  53. P2 13:53Shot by Rust, saved by Gibson5v3
  54. P2 14:14Guentzel: Hooking (2 min)5v3

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rust, Guentzel, Smith · ANA Shattenkirk, Henrique, Benoit

  55. P2 14:44Shot by Smith, saved by Gibson4v3
  56. P2 15:08Shot by Rust, saved by Gibson4v4
  57. P2 15:42Shot by Fowler, saved by DeSmith4v5
  58. P2 16:56Shot by Vatrano, saved by DeSmith
  59. P2 17:05Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by DeSmith
  60. P2 17:56Shot by O'Connor, saved by Gibson
  61. P2 19:18Smith: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell, Smith · ANA Fowler, Strome, Vaakanainen, Comtois, Zegras

  62. P2 19:59Shot by McTavish, saved by DeSmith4v5
  63. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 1:46Shot by Crosby, saved by Gibson
  66. P3 2:47Shot by Zucker, saved by Gibson
  67. P3 7:10Shot by Klingberg, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 7:37Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Gibson
  69. P3 7:39Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Gibson
  70. P3 8:38Shot by Smith, saved by Gibson
  71. P3 8:40Shot by Malkin, saved by Gibson
  72. P3 8:41Shot by Malkin, saved by Gibson
  73. P3 9:11Shattenkirk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell, Smith · ANA Shattenkirk, Silfverberg, Carrick, Vatrano, Vaakanainen

  74. P3 9:51Rakell: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rakell, Guentzel, Smith · ANA Henrique, Silfverberg, Kulikov, Benoit

  75. P3 10:05Shot by Pettersson, saved by Gibson4v4
  76. P3 10:18Shot by Comtois, saved by DeSmith4v4
  77. P3 11:16Goal by Klingberg (Zegras, Terry)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Pettersson, Joseph · ANA Shattenkirk, Fowler, Klingberg, Terry, Zegras

  78. P3 15:40Goal by Zegras (Strome)+41 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rakell, Ruhwedel, Joseph · ANA Klingberg, Strome, Comtois, Benoit, Zegras

  79. P3 16:53Shot by Friedman, saved by Gibson
  80. P3 16:56Shot by Pettersson, saved by Gibson
  81. P3 17:37Shot by Kapanen, saved by Gibson
  82. P3 18:05Shot by Kapanen, saved by Gibson
  83. P3 18:08Shot by Carter, saved by Gibson
  84. P3 19:32Shot by Rakell, saved by Gibson6v5
  85. P3 19:35Goal by Rust (Guentzel, Rakell)6v5+50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Rust, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · ANA Kulikov, Fowler, Carrick, Vatrano, Terry

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. OT 0:00Period start
  88. OT 0:13Shot by Strome, saved by DeSmith3v3
  89. OT 0:33Goal by Guentzel (Crosby)3v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Guentzel · ANA Fowler, Strome, Zegras

  90. OT 0:33Period end4v4
  91. OT 0:33Final