Thu, Jan 19, 2023·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Dallas Stars 4, Los Angeles Kings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 312 | 110 | 02 | 424 |
| LAK | 09 | 011 | 014 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:54DALTyler SeguinGWGAssists: Joe Pavelski, Jason Robertson · Snap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 17:20DALTyler SeguinUnassisted · Snap, 0.16 xG2–0
- P1 18:44DALEsa LindellAssists: Wyatt Johnston, Jamie Benn · Snap, 0.07 xG3–0
- P2 7:27DALJason RobertsonAssists: Tyler Seguin, Miro Heiskanen · Wrist, 0.20 xG4–0
Penalties (8)
- P2 3:09DALTyler Seguin: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:21LAKKevin Fiala: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:07LAKPhillip Danault: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:39DALJason Robertson: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:22LAKBrendan Lemieux: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:36DALJoel Kiviranta: Holding2 min
- P3 5:25LAKBlake Lizotte: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:20DALMason Marchment: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lizotte won the faceoff against Glendening
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Seguin – Robertson11:12
xG 1.11–0.43 (72%)attempts 19–10goals 3–0
- Glendening – Marchment – Kiviranta8:51
xG 0.27–0.20 (57%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Benn – Dellandrea – Johnston6:45
xG 0.35–0.31 (53%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Faksa – Olofsson – Gurianov7:15
xG 0.08–0.42 (15%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Heiskanen8:03
xG 0.64–0.27 (70%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Suter – Heiskanen4:36
xG 0.60–0.33 (64%)attempts 7–5goals 2–0
- Suter – Hanley5:50
xG 0.31–0.08 (80%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Fiala – Kempe9:34
xG 0.95–0.33 (74%)attempts 15–5goals 0–1
- Anderson-Dolan – Lizotte – Byfield9:09
xG 0.38–0.24 (61%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Kupari – Fagemo8:07
xG 0.24–0.53 (31%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Danault – Arvidsson – Iafallo9:02
xG 0.24–0.54 (31%)attempts 9–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Walker12:55
xG 1.00–0.52 (66%)attempts 22–10goals 0–0
- Roy – Durzi12:12
xG 0.46–0.58 (44%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
- Doughty – Anderson15:14
xG 0.48–0.70 (41%)attempts 14–16goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).