Sat, Jan 21, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
San Jose Sharks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 115 | 15 | 16 | 326 |
| CBJ | 02 | 212 | 315 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:49SJSTimo MeierAssists: Noah Gregor, Tomas Hertl · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 5:39SJSNick BoninoAssists: Nico Sturm, Jaycob Megna · Wrap-around, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 11:19CBJJohnny GaudreauPPAssists: Patrik Laine, Nick Blankenburg · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 12:31CBJBoone JennerAssists: Kent Johnson, Gustav Nyquist · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–2
- P3 1:53SJSNico SturmUnassisted · Other, 1.00 xG3–2
- P3 3:04CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Jack Roslovic, Johnny Gaudreau · Snap, 0.11 xG3–3
- P3 12:38CBJGustav NyquistGWGAssists: Kent Johnson · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–4
- P3 18:56CBJSean KuralyENAssists: Nick Blankenburg, Andrew Peeke · Wrist, 0.31 xG3–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:41CBJCole Sillinger: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:41CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:41SJSJonah Gadjovich: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:47SJSNoah Gregor: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:16SJSNoah Gregor: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestBonino – Gregor – Sturm8:18
xG 1.46–0.10 (94%)attempts 8–4goals 2–0
- Hertl – Meier – Eyssimont11:44
xG 0.30–0.40 (43%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Gadjovich9:26
xG 0.18–0.62 (22%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Couture – Nieto – Barabanov9:05
xG 0.14–0.62 (19%)attempts 2–12goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestHarrington – Ferraro11:08
xG 1.40–0.64 (69%)attempts 7–11goals 1–1
- Karlsson – Ferraro3:16
xG 0.18–0.04 (81%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Megna14:15
xG 0.24–0.20 (54%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Roslovic – Laine9:43
xG 0.50–0.02 (96%)attempts 9–1goals 1–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Johnson7:45
xG 0.38–0.11 (77%)attempts 9–4goals 2–0
- Kuraly – Olivier – Robinson8:30
xG 0.13–0.11 (55%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Johnson5:01
xG 0.08–0.06 (58%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Berni15:59
xG 0.50–0.23 (68%)attempts 14–4goals 1–0
- Peeke – Blankenburg8:58
xG 0.28–0.18 (61%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke7:51
xG 0.36–0.28 (56%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).