Wed, Jan 25, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Vancouver Canucks 1, Seattle Kraken 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 17 | 07 | 120 |
| SEA | 218 | 312 | 15 | 635 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:57SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Adam Larsson, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 9:46SEAAlexander WennbergPPGWGAssists: Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann · Poke, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 5:55SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Andre Burakovsky · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
- P2 7:50SEAEeli TolvanenAssists: Yanni Gourde, Vince Dunn · Slap, 0.04 xG0–4
- P2 16:15SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Adam Larsson, Yanni Gourde · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–5
- P2 19:52VANConor GarlandAssists: Curtis Lazar, Dakota Joshua · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–5
- P3 2:36SEARyan DonatoAssists: Jared McCann · Backhand, 0.06 xG1–6
Penalties (11)
- P1 9:38VANAndrei Kuzmenko: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 12:57SEAEeli Tolvanen: Slashing2 min
- P1 14:12VANJ.T. Miller: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:23VANTyler Myers: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 5:57VANLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:57SEAJamie Oleksiak: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:15SEABrandon Tanev: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:15SEABrandon Tanev: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:15VANConor Garland: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:17SEAJordan Eberle: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 17:26SEACale Fleury: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLazar – Joshua – Garland2:42
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 1–0
- Di Giuseppe – Lazar – Studnicka6:06
xG 0.31–0.28 (53%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Horvat – Kuzmenko2:04
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 2–1goals 0–1
- Pettersson – Mikheyev – Kuzmenko8:00
xG 0.08–0.33 (20%)attempts 5–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Burroughs – Hughes4:04
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Dermott11:26
xG 0.36–0.44 (45%)attempts 4–20goals 0–0
- Myers – Hughes2:45
xG 0.01–0.14 (5%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen11:32
xG 0.96–0.17 (85%)attempts 16–9goals 3–1
- Wennberg – McCann – Donato9:18
xG 0.55–0.07 (88%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Sprong – Tanev – Geekie8:00
xG 0.21–0.13 (62%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Eberle – Burakovsky – Beniers7:14
xG 0.11–0.07 (61%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn16:09
xG 1.36–0.22 (86%)attempts 28–9goals 3–1
- Soucy – Fleury12:34
xG 0.66–0.11 (86%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen11:19
xG 0.09–0.11 (45%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).